How close is this race ??

[kentuck]

Is Bush slightly ahead? Or is Kerry barely in front? Or is it too close to call? Will the winner be determined in these last two weeks? I know a lot of people have been working really hard. I am hoping all the hard work will be rewarded.

As far as the polls go, anybody can find any poll to validate that their side is ahead. The truth is, we don't know who is ahead at this moment. For me personally, I would be very disappointed in my fellow Americans if they were gullible enough to buy into four more years of this mess. That would be very hard to tolerate.

[NMDemDist2]

1. hell I don't know

and i don't think the pollsters do either

but i agree if the public is stupid enough to re elect * i don't know how i'll stand it

[tom22]

2. There was a guy from the

Washington Post on Fox News today who ran it down to less than ten states. MN, NH still up for grabs. NJ safely Kerry. PA leaning heavily Kerry. Probably safe. Ohio and Florida he said were the ball game. If Kerry takes PA and either FL or OH it's a done deal. Converesely if Bush takes OH and FL he's in. Made some sense to me.

[fknobbit]

4. I am thinking that Kerry has gathered far more votes than Gore.

and that Bush has crapped in his mess kit, but then I would have bet Americans were too smart to give Raygun 4 more, before they proved me wrong. I'm hoping it ain't close because it will be stolen again, if so.

[Barney Rocks]

3. I believe that we

are slightly ahead--probably about 2 points which is within the margin of error. Hopefully the last debate will give us a lead outside the margin of error. Then--over the last two weeks of the election--if people follow history--those undecideds will break our way and give us a decisive win by 8-9 points.

[Eurobabe]

5. I think it will go in Kerry's favor by a much larger margin

than most people are anticipating. It's a gut thing.

[struggle4progress]

6. Depends on state ... and the polls often aren't terribly clear:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=1029267&mesg_id=1029267

[Kazak]

7. If you go by so called "likely voters", it's a tie.

;)

[kentuck]

9. I don't think likely voters are a good barometer this time....

They usually pick those from the county rolls. It's true that the ones that voted the last time will probably also vote this time and the chances are they vote nearly the same. If one or two-percent break for the other candidate, that can spell bad news.

However, this time around, I think there are going to be a lot of new voters and I do not think any of the pollsters have any idea which way they will go. They could be off 5-10% in the end.

[TruthIsAll]

8. Kerry is winning, because he's tied now and gets the undecideds later

http://www.geocities.com/electionmodel/

[PCIntern]

10. and it would explain Bush

and Karen's anger.

They are apoplectic - there must be a reason.

[leftofthedial]

11. it is about 80 - 20 Kerry

But since we no longer live in a democratic republic, with electronic voting, repuke ownership of the media, repuke vote fraud, dirty tricks and bogus polls, that translates to 50 - 50.

[ScreamingMeemie]

12. I really think Kerry's killing 'em...

They just want us to think otherwise.