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Tim Flannery - 6 Yrs Later, IPCC Projections Of 1.4 - 5.8C Temperature Increase Far Too Conservative

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hatrack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 09:26 AM
Original message
Tim Flannery - 6 Yrs Later, IPCC Projections Of 1.4 - 5.8C Temperature Increase Far Too Conservative
SYDNEY (AFP) - Global warming is occurring at a faster rate than the worst-case scenario envisaged by experts just six years ago, Australia's top climate change scientist said Thursday. Tim Flannery, named the 2007 Australian of the Year for his work in alerting the public to the dangers of global warming, said the issue was the greatest challenge facing humanity in the 21st century.

Flannery said predictions in a 2001 UN report, warning the atmosphere was likely to warm by 1.4 to 5.8 degrees Celsius (2.5-10.4 Fahrenheit) from 1990 to 2100 now appeared conservative.

"In the six years since then, we've collected enough data to (check) whether those projections are valid or not," he said. "It turns out they're not valid, but in the most horrible way -- because for the key performance indicators about climate, change is occurring far in advance of the worst-case scenario," he said.

"Carbon dioxide's increasing more rapidly, sea levels are rising more rapidly (and) the Arctic ice cap is melting away more quickly than were projected in 2001."

EDIT

http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20070920/sc_afp/australiaclimatewarming_070920081946;_ylt=Ah05JPXbx9cem3U.GwshS7hrAlMA
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HereSince1628 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 09:30 AM
Response to Original message
1. See they WERE wrong about global warming...
I suppose this means that the great Senator from Oklahoma will be making a statement about hoaxes soon.
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hatrack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 09:36 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. Yes, and he can bring in Michael Crichton & Sun Young Moon as supporting witnesses
:puke:
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tridim Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 09:37 AM
Response to Original message
3. Even if we can't stop it, we'll still need to adapt as a species
And we need to start preparing now or else we won't survive.

It's obvious we need Gore leading us, not some rapture republican who still believes global warming is a hoax.
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Jim__ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 09:46 AM
Response to Original message
4. The skeptics always point at the uncertainty and then tell us how little it might change.
Edited on Thu Sep-20-07 09:46 AM by Jim__
But, the effects are just as likely to be understated as overstated. When the skeptics look at uncertainty, why do they always forget that?
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GliderGuider Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 09:52 AM
Response to Reply #4
5. Why do they always forget that?
Well, I'm pretty sure that anyone astute enough to ask the question already knows the answer...
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phantom power Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 10:03 AM
Response to Original message
6. You are just trying to condition me. For obedience. Or something.
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GliderGuider Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 10:08 AM
Response to Reply #6
7. Lie down. Roll over. Pant harder!
Good dog, have a Soylent Snack.
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