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mndemocrat_29 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-26-03 10:47 AM
Original message
Minnesota Opportunities
I think that Minnesota remains one of the best opportunities for pickups in the upcoming elections. DFLers are angry about losing so badly in 2002 and are out to rectify their mistakes. Here are a couple of ways that I think Democrats could win in Minnesota:

House Reelection Races-All of the House races in the state are winnable, and the most Republican district is currently held by a Democrat, my congressman, Collin Peterson. Recent news articles say that Republicans are going to target him in the next election. So, though he is too moderate for my taste, I think Minnesotans will have to make sure he is reelected. Betty McCollum, Jim Oberstar, and Martin Sabo will all win reelection easily.

House Pickup Races-If we can get some good congressional candidates in these races, I believe that we've got some pickup possibilites. Rep. Gil Gutknecht could receive a challenger from the left, and State Sen. John Hottinger would be the toughest challenger Gutknecht's ever faced.

Rep. Mark Kennedy (who is an inept buffoon) should be vulnerable from a real campaigner. If Janet Robert ran again, and ran a real campaign this time, I think she has the charisma to win here. However, she may have damaged herself to drastically in order to take this this time around. Any suggestions for other candidates?

Rep. Jim Ramstad comes from a district that leans slightly to the Democrats, but he's viewed as unbeatable. A self-financed candidate, or a young appealing one (ala Rep. Debra Hilstrom) could upset Ramstad.

Rep. John Kline is one of the most conservative members of the Minnesota House delegation. A challenge from State Sen. Steve Murphy could send Kline out of Washington.

Dayton's Reelection-I've heard Kennedy, Gutknecht, and Ramstad have all considered this one. I've also heard Supreme Court Justice Kathleen Blatz might want this one. We cannot afford to lose Dayton in the Senate.

Governor's and Constitutional Officers Races-Judi Dutcher would be a great candidate for governor in 2006 (Pawlenty's never going to win), as would Rep. Betty McCollum. Mike Hatch should be reelected, but I can't stand the thought of Pat Awada and Mary Kiffmeyer making it another round. We have to pass on nominating another Humphrey and instead consider someone like Janet Robert or Gregory Gary.

Norm Coleman's Seat-He can't be reelected (I know of so many people who hate his guts). I think we could take this one with someone like Julie Sabo or Betty McCollum. Of course, McCollum may pass on a gubernatorial or senatorial race and try to climb the House leadership.

However, in an election where we need every House seat we can get, I think that Minnesota poises one of the best opportunities.
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trotsky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-26-03 11:03 AM
Response to Original message
1. Dayton's term ends in 2006
So we're OK in the Senate, if you can classify having Normie representing you as being "OK." *shudder*

If Bill Luther hadn't been such an idiot, he would have defeated Kline easily in 2002. But no, his campaign manager (?) had to try and register a bogus candidate to siphon votes away from Kline. But Kline has a record now, and a horrible one at that. He's vulnerable.

I disagree on Gutknecht and Ramstad - I think they've got their seats as long as they want 'em. Much like Sabo/McCollum/Oberstar. Ramstad's district was redrawn to include MORE conservative suburbia, it would take a miracle to throw him out. To his credit, he is one of the more moderate Republicans in the house.

State offices, there is no doubt that the DFL must make great strides in 2004, taking back control of both houses, first to take the edge off Pawlenty's bad policies and second to be poised for the culmination of a DFL governor in 2006. Pawlenty is an arrogant prick, and it will be his undoing. I would like to see Dutcher run again. The DFL needs to focus on energetic, good campaigners, as you say. Roger Moe would have made an outstanding governor, I am sure. But he was dull as dishwater, and as such, unelectable.

Here's to aiming high in 2004!
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goobergunch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-26-03 11:11 AM
Response to Original message
2. House thoughts
House Reelection Races-All of the House races in the state are winnable, and the most Republican district is currently held by a Democrat, my congressman, Collin Peterson. Recent news articles say that Republicans are going to target him in the next election. So, though he is too moderate for my taste, I think Minnesotans will have to make sure he is reelected. Betty McCollum, Jim Oberstar, and Martin Sabo will all win reelection easily.

I think Peterson's moderate profile will help him be re-elected without too much difficulty. The other three are all safe for re-election.

House Pickup Races-If we can get some good congressional candidates in these races, I believe that we've got some pickup possibilites. Rep. Gil Gutknecht could receive a challenger from the left, and State Sen. John Hottinger would be the toughest challenger Gutknecht's ever faced.

Gutknecht's high-profile sponsorship of the prescription drug re-importation bill is going to make him hard to beat.

Rep. Mark Kennedy (who is an inept buffoon) should be vulnerable from a real campaigner. If Janet Robert ran again, and ran a real campaign this time, I think she has the charisma to win here. However, she may have damaged herself to drastically in order to take this this time around. Any suggestions for other candidates?

Possible pick-up, but we do need a strong candidate.

Rep. Jim Ramstad comes from a district that leans slightly to the Democrats, but he's viewed as unbeatable. A self-financed candidate, or a young appealing one (ala Rep. Debra Hilstrom) could upset Ramstad.

We'd only upset Ramstad in a wave...but that's what we'll need to take back the House.

Rep. John Kline is one of the most conservative members of the Minnesota House delegation. A challenge from State Sen. Steve Murphy could send Kline out of Washington.

IMHO Kline is the most vulnerable member of the House from MN...we definitely need to target this seat.
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dodger501 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-26-03 11:59 AM
Response to Original message
3. I thought K. Blatz was a Dem
And if so, would she run against Dayton? What is the story on her?
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mndemocrat_29 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-26-03 12:45 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. Blatz
Blatz is a Republican. She served in the state legislature. She was a very moderate Republican, however. She's quite articulate and would be a formidable foe, but I doubt the conservative Republicans in Minnesota would ever nominate her.
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ButterflyBlood Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-26-03 01:23 PM
Response to Original message
5. Peterson is safe
He's always won in the high 60's or even 70's recently.

I'd love to get rid of Gutknect (he's my congressman :( ) but you can bet he'll run on the drugs plan to get all the seniors to vote for him again. We need to try to remove in 2006 or later.

Ramstad is unbeatable. He's a moderate Republican in a mostly moderate Republican district.

With a really good candidate we might have a shot at Kennedy.

Kline can be beat since his district is pretty moderate and not a good fit for his extremist record, and Luther's campaign was a joke.
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