Obama’s odds of reelection might conveniently be expressed as a mathematical function of unemployment rate and gasoline prices. This is a simple way to measure the “Misery Index”. If you have doubts that Hispanics, Millennials, and Seniors don’t feel pain at the pump, the grocery store checkout lane or in the unemployment line, you might ask them.
As for union busting in Wisconsin, it might be easier to ask
what states are not currently legislating against collective bargaining rights for state employees? When Massachusetts starts union busting, who isn’t doing it?
Wisconsin Democrats and national unions threw everything they had at David Prosser,
and he still won. The only votes his opponent received were from public service employee family members.