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jiacinto Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-03 11:59 PM
Original message
Redskins v Tampa Next Week
Great. With TB's heart breaking loss they will be movitated to play harder.

Great.
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Awsi Dooger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-07-03 01:41 AM
Response to Original message
1. Conflicting trends
Correct, NFL road teams do much better if coming off a loss. As a reference point, NFL road teams off a loss cover the pointspread about 9% more often than road teams coming off a win. Usually it's about 55% to 46% over an entire season.

However, Tampa Bay is off a Monday Nighter and traveling to face a non-division foe. That is historically a terrible scenario -- normally a loss -- but not quite as bad now, with only 4 teams per division and therefore more signficance necessarily attached to the 10 non-division games.

Tampa Bay has phenomenal road pass defense. The mainstream media will never mention this, but the Bucs allowed 4.71 Yards Per Pass Attempt (YPPA) on the road last season, a modern NFL record and absolutely freakish, the equivalent of Secretariat's Belmont. That was a full 50% superior to the league average, unheard of in a major statistical category. Patrick Ramsey will need to be patient and error free.

Jiacinto, you should have transformed into a Dolphin fan by now, concerned about Jacksonville and Byron Leftwich next week. Become a regular caller to WQAM and let Hank Goldberg cut you off, with a savage insult attached. That should do it.
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