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What order do think the Candidates will drop out?

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CoffeePlease1947 Donating Member (621 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-07-03 07:39 AM
Original message
What order do think the Candidates will drop out?
Graham has now left, who is next?

Here is the order I think they will drop.


Braun---on or before NH--No Money to go on
Kucinich--after South Carolina--Loses in all three
Gephardt--Between NH and SC--loses in Iowa, forced out
Edwards--After Super Tuesday--numbers show low votes
Liberman---After Super Tuesday--numbers show low votes
Kerry---After Super Tuesday---Loses in NH and 4th in SC
Sharpton---After Super Tuesday--runs out of money

Dean or Clark--One will be forced out towards the end.

What is your order, why and when?

Mike
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La_Serpiente Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-07-03 07:53 AM
Response to Original message
1. Hmmm
I actually think they won't be dropping out, especially Kucinich. However, I think one must be asking themselves, "When are their campaings finished?"

It's too complicated. I really don't know
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Padraig18 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-07-03 08:04 AM
Response to Original message
2. I think:
I think the following candidates will either drop out or 'suspend' their campaigns:

Braun
Lieberman
Gephart
Edwards
Sharpton

The remaining candidates will all have enough money OR 'chutzpah' to continue on to the convention itself, IMO. I believe we will have the first convention in MANY years where no candidate has the nomination 'locked up' prior to the convention.

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cyclezealot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-07-03 08:04 AM
Response to Original message
3. not kucinich
Kucinich has a much too loyal bond to his volunteers. Kucinich is in it not just to be president, but to promote issues and causes. His volunteer base and financial support is doing fine. It is getting better,not worse. He has significant endorsements. He will stay there- to the end or we volunteers who give and work tirelessly.
His cause will carry him at least through California.
You need to attend his rallies and watch his bond to his volunteers. We will go no where else, with our energies. The other's positions are too uninspiring to take our energy elsewhere. That does not mean in November we won't vote for the second run.
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alexwcovington Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-07-03 08:11 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. It's true
Kucinich has just enough cash to keep in the game. It's not enough to win, but definitely enough to push the agenda.
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alexwcovington Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-07-03 08:17 AM
Response to Original message
5. Gephardt is going to hang on
He's definitely not getting out before South Carolina. That's kind of mini-Super Tuesday this year.

Everyone that goes into New Hampshire will stay on for that the week after. Then, maybe they will drop out. Chances are most of them will stubbornly continue to campaign straight into March. It's only wasting a month of their life anyway.

There are four people who can win: Dean, Clark, Kerry, Edwards. (I'm not ready to call Edwards out just yet). The latter two aren't getting much attention lately but Clark won't have the spotlight forever. Eventually the media will start covering the actual contest again.

I'm rooting for Dean in this one. Hopefully, he'll pull through.
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CoffeePlease1947 Donating Member (621 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-07-03 08:35 AM
Response to Reply #5
6. I only think the media will ever really cover Clark, Dean, Kerry,
Lieberman, Gephardt and a little bit of the others.

Most the others are boring, and are * in the polls. Look at California. They are not covering 135 candidates. 95% of the coverage is Davis, Arnold, Bustamante, and some of McClintock.

Mike
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