Kerry opens lead in Florida poll 49-44

[59millionmorons]

(KRT) - Powered by a clear shift among independent voters, Democratic candidate John Kerry has taken a slight lead in the presidential race in Florida just before his party's national convention, according to a statewide poll conducted for the South Florida Sun-Sentinel and Florida Times-Union.

Kerry gained ground in the nation's largest swing state, apparently bolstered by his selection of running mate John Edwards and helped by a gradual erosion of support for President Bush. The results also indicated that Vice President Dick Cheney has become a drag on the Republican ticket, weighed down by his high "unfavorable" rating.

The poll of 600 likely Florida voters, conducted by the independent polling firm Research 2000, found Kerry leading Bush 49 percent to 44 percent in a two-way matchup.

http://www.thestate.com/mld/thestate/news/special_packa...

[skooooo]

1. be cool mah babies!

[tedoll78]

16. Hey..

was that meant to be done in a Conan voice?

[skooooo]

18. Yes! Finally someone gets it!

So be cool mah babies!

[Endangered Specie]

2. This is without Nader.

So the likely result then is -3 or -4 Kerry.

[Mayberry Machiavelli]

3. I would think Floridian Anti-Bush voters would be about the LEAST

likely to look at Nader this time around, with a lot of Repentant Nader Voters from last time (like Michael Moore).

[Endangered Specie]

4. Hopefully, they wont end up voting for Buchanan either.

ala Butterfly ballots

[Kurt Remarque]

8. there are thousands of likely voters who got butterflied

the gop has to supress the vote somewhere else to control for these people. VNS was correct in it's giving florida to gore, for whom these folks thought they voted

[Endangered Specie]

17. They really wanted us to believe...

That heavily Jewish communities voted Buchanan more than anywhere else.


Jews for Buchanan!

That just don't sound right.

[Kahuna]

5. Yeah but. Even when you get a Nader number you have to discount..

half of that. So, if he polls 4%, cut that in half and give that half to Kerry.

[Mayberry Machiavelli]

6. How did Nader poll, compared to the actual percent of votes he got,

during the campaign in 2000?

[scarletwoman]

19. Is Nader on the ballot in Florida?

If he's not going to be on the Florida ballot, there'd be no point in including him in a state poll.

sw

[Endangered Specie]

21. Hes still trying to get on, the GOP is helping.

[flordehinojos]

7. Jeb must be having a bad day!

Jeb must be having a bad day! That should put us all on notice that he is going to try his darndest dirtiest not to let Kerry take the prize here in Florida.

[leftist.]

Hopefully it will be wearing less makeup this time around (n/t)

[Straight Shooter]

9. And the beat goes on, yeah, the beat goes on

bush is cruisin' for a bruisin'

[onethatcares]

10. my conversations with folks that live in

"trailer parks" or "mobile home parks", usually 55 and above in age, won't vote for * if he was giving away plastic turkeys in Iraq on Thanksgiving and then serving the playdoh cranberry sauce. They are pissed. They don't care about Nader, they plan to vote Kerry as an ABB candidate. I bring the subject up time after time. No one wants to hear "four more years" of this shit. His bro is the next one outa office. He's already padding his resume. Watch out for him in 08.

[Blue-Jay]

11. "600 likely voters"...hmm.

Is that about normal for polls such as this? I'd be happier with a larger sampling and with Nader included. (or maybe I wouldn't be happier)

[happynewyear]

12. you are correct of course

very small sample size - can't be considered credible IMO.

[Orangepeel]

15. that's normal for a state poll

national polls usually have about 1000. of course we can't judge the quality of the sample without more info, but it isn't too small

[yardwork]

13. Jeb's got a lot of fwork to do.

There are polling places to be closed, voters to be purged, intimidators to be trained, and ballots to be lost. Oh yes, and absentee ballots to be "corrected."

[levdog]

14. if they let blacks actually vote

this time, the state is ours.

i think florida is the only state that blocks felons from voting at the booth.

[blm]

20. LIKELY voters 49-44. Which means it's more like 52-42.

Likely voters ALWAYS skews GOP. They automatically eliminate any new voter or sporadic voter, thereby eliminating all those newly activating AGAINST Bush.