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64. robertpaulsen Waterman, this is EXCELLENT!
I appreciate the thoroughness of your research, especially with your timeline, which is very helpful in helping people understand the root of our research.
Today, I was perusing through several of the Plame threads thinking that I should do something similar to what you just did. Kind of a recap to send to people to say, "This is where my research has lead me so far. Would you please look deeper into this matter?"
The way The Waterman Paper is constructed is an excellent template for any other Plame Thread researcher who is considering compiling their own ideas to disseminate to the people who can help us in our investigation.
Thank you Waterman for blazing the trail!
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75. What I mean is...
All of the speculation and theories put forth by H@O Man have been answered in Lefthander's post...here:
"To go to war and win the big cash cow prize called war and oil revenue. Cheney needed excellent reasons to invade a country. The Niger Yellow Cake was one of those reasons....The Niger Yellow Cake was real. Almost. It was a sting set up by Plames group. And Cheney and the rest fell for it. Wilson probably had no knowlege of the sting . Cheney caught wind that the Niger yellow cake deal was going to surface. He sent a independant third party to investigate to find planted bogus documents to cast the light that the Yellow cake was not real. Even though it really was a sting. Thus Wilson. Wilson was the unwitting pawn in a sting by Plame and Cheney's coverup."
IOW...they are in consensus.
And what I mean is...We're back to square one with the same question..
Who in a high government position outed the CIA agent Plame?
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131. scottxyz (1000+ posts)
Tellurian's post is incorrect
Tellurian claims that "All of the speculation and theories put forth by H2O Man have been answered" and then goes on to quote an argument by Lefthander to the effect that "Cheney needed excellent reasons to invade a country. The Niger Yellow Cake was one of those reasons... Wilson was the unwitting pawn in a sting by Plame and Cheney's coverup."
This is totally incorrect. As we all know, the most exciting piece of "speculation" put forth by H2O Man is precisely the questions that go BEYOND the conventional wisdom about yellowcake, Niger and Iraq. H2O Man's speculations are MUCH more wide-ranging that mere yellowcake, Niger, and Iraq - and anyone (such as
Tellurian) who misses this has missed the main point of this massive series of threads.
H2O Man has speculated that Valerie Plame, as an undercover agent investigation WMD trading networks, may have been getting close to exposing sales of WMDs by Cheney/Halliburton to members of the "Axis of Evil."
This is an explosive speculation - an allegation of trading with the enemy no less, and then exposing a CIA
operative in an attempt to do a cover-up. But this speculation makes some sense: exposing an undercover CIA operative would bring down the biggest scandal on the Administration, but if Cheney was trying to cover-up an investigation into his own treason, then that might make it worth it.
Of course, this speculation is nowhere near proven yet - but the bits about Adeer Khan's nuclear Wal-Mart, and Halliburton's alleged illegal sales of WMDs to Iran are some of the pieces of evidence that support it.
It is quite disingenuous, to say the least, for Tellurian to claim that a post rehashing the conventional wisdom about Niger and Yellowcake and payback to Wilson has somehow "answered" the much more serious speculation H2O Man actually raised: speculation about Cheney trading with the enemy and then exposing a covert operative's cover in order to cover up his trading with the enemy. Quite to the contrary - the old Yellowcake/Payback theory does NOT answer the much more serious speculations raised by H2O Man -
H2O Man's speculations are MUCH more wide-ranging that mere yellowcake, Niger, and Iraq - and anyone (such as Tellurian) who misses this has missed the main point of this massive series of threads.
H2O Man has speculated that Valerie Plame, as an undercover agent investigation WMD trading networks, may have been getting close to exposing sales of WMDs by Cheney/Halliburton to members of the "Axis of Evil."
This is an explosive speculation - an allegation of trading with the enemy no less, and then exposing a CIA operative in an attempt to do a cover-up. But this speculation makes some sense: exposing an undercover CIA operative would bring down the biggest scandal on the Administration, but if Cheney was trying to cover-up an investigation into his own treason, then that might make it worth it.
Of course, this speculation is nowhere near proven yet - but the bits about Adeer Khan's nuclear Wal-Mart, and Halliburton's alleged illegal sales of WMDs to Iran are some of the pieces of evidence that support it.
It is quite disingenuous, to say the least, for Tellurian to claim that a post rehashing the conventional wisdom about Niger and Yellowcake and payback to Wilson has somehow "answered" the much more serious speculation H2O Man actually raised: speculation about Cheney trading with the enemy and then exposing a covert operative's cover in order to cover up his trading with the enemy. Quite to the contrary - the old Yellowcake/Payback theory does NOT answer the much more serious speculations raised by H2O Man -
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115. Pallas180 (1000+ posts) H20 is right. When you start asking WHY, the motivation for their moves,
it answers so much.
Actually what we are doing is moving backwards from the "result"
to the "cause....reading their minds, their reasons for their
actions.
That WHY tends to get very revealing I think.
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67.Tellurian H2O...Your third identified goal is impossible for you to investigate..
because you will never know what Plame's activities were and who her contacts were that would constitute enough of a threat to Cheney to out her under the guise of punishing her husband.
The only person who can accomplish a perfect fit to your allegations is Valerie Plame herself.. not you.
As I mentioned yesterday, these things take time. People have to be sent out into the field..Things have to be verified, documented, witnesses interviewed and deposed..and on and on.. <sheesh>
I'm sure she has received your information by now. Unfortunately, you seem to want instant results. A yes or no answer on the spot...Otherwise you are want to cry how you've been insulted and your trust violated by putting forth this idea and going unrewarded for your thoughtful thoughts. Are you afraid someone is stealing your ideas? Are you afraid someone is going to take credit for your theory?
I thought the important thing was getting enough evidence together to help Wilson..I mean what is your goal anyway?
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80. Me. Why the need to be confrontational?
It can't add to the validity of your points if you deride those of others.
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137. scottxyz (1000+ posts) Actually, the validity of many of your points IS in question, Tellurian
I find it quite ironic that you claim that the validity of your points are {sic} not in question - when your positions and points have been some of the most (subtly) contrarian on these threads. (I couldn't help rebutting many of Tellurian's most erroneous points in other posts within this thread. Tellurian's errors and omissions were so glaring, it was like shooting fish in a barrel.)
Or, perhaps "contrarian" isn't the right word. These threads themselves are presenting a contrarian viewpoint: that Cheney may have outed Plame to derail her investigation into his trading WMDs with the enemy.
You, Tellurian, are the contrarian within the contrarian thread, you are presenting the "conventional wisdom" which we can read in any of our trusty media outlets, namely: Not much to see here, just some payback for Wilson exposing Bush's phoney yellowcake claims.
Tellurian is the main voice trying to drown out the contrarian speculation in this thread and bring us all back to the boring conventional wisdom.
I have read most of these threads and I have found that the posts whose validity is precisely MOST EASILY called into question are none other than Tellurian's - who has, if I recall correctly, on several times made rather depressing, dead-end suggestions to the effect that we should abandon this novel and serious line of speculation, or that we're somehow back at square one, or that we should go and watch The Grid, or there's nothing new being discussed here. (Forgive me if these dreary suggestions were made by somone other than Tellurian - feel free to speak up and I will credit you other counter-contrarians!)
There is something VERY new being discussed here: the possibility that Cheney may have outed a CIA agent who may have been investigating his trading with the enemy. Many of Tellurian's posts have quite lamely attempted to quash this highly speculative but potentially rewarding line of inquiry - and for that reason their validity is indeed very much in question.
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141.Scottxyz H2O Man's third point is NOT impossible to investigate
Tellurian takes the pessimistic view that for some reason ONLY Valerie Plame could have investigated H2O Man's third speculative point.
This is incorrect. H2O Man's third point simply heads in the direction of asking whether Cheney may have been trading WMDs with our enemies. If such trading were taking place, Plame, as a specialist in WMD trading networks, might have had some leads. But why does Tellurian go so far as to claim that ONLY Plame could have had any leads?
It is quite misleading for Tellurian to suggest that because Valerie Plame's status as an undercover operative has been revealed, the answer to this serious speculative question can never be known.
Is Tellurian cliaming to know that nobody else might be able to provide us with this information?
Is Tellurian quite certain that no contact of Adeer Khan perhaps, no disaffected employee of Halliburton, no member of one of a foreign government, no US or foreign intelligence operative might have gotten wind of such alleged trading with the enemy?
Wow, Tellurian must have an awful lot of contacts out there in the underground arms-dealing milieu, if he knows all that!
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H20. 213. A Waterman Note: A Letter from a Region of my Mind
On Thursday, July 22, a contributor to the Plame Indictment Thread #12 posted a concern that I would like to examine closely. Tellurian noted that I am unabled to investigate and prove a theory that VP Dick Cheney may have played a significant role in exposing the identity of CIA operative Valerie Plame. The Waterman Paper, posted on 7-22, outlined a theory that VP Cheney may have manipulated events from behind the scenes in the White House, in order to derail an investigation that potentially threatened to expose some of Cheney's business deals.
Tellurian indicated that because I am not able to investigate, prove, or prosecute this theory, that it should not be advanced on the DU Plame Threads. Further, Tellurian noted that others could be embarassed if they repeated this unproven theory.
This note will attempt to address those concerns. First, I share Tellurian's concerns that it would be both irresponsible and reckless to advance wild charges against any public official, without having some direct and/or circumstantial evidence to build a proper foundation.
However, the "lack" of proof from the DU Plame Threads Think Tank should not be equated with a weakness in the theory. Nor should our perceived inability to "investigate" be reason to stop our efforts to pass this information on to other grass-roots political groups, to elected officials, and/or to other media sources.
In support of this position, I offer the following: In 2001, EPA director Christine Todd Whitman was attempting to prepare to participate in global discussions on regulating carbon dioxide emissions. Due to the significance of the Kyoto Protocol, CTW attempted to get advice from her boss, President Bush.
Frustrated by her inability to discuss this issue with the president, CTW instead had meetings with three other key officials: Andrew Card, Paul O'Neill, and Condoleeza Rice. They prepared a strategy based in part upon George Bush's campaign promises regard the threat to the environment from unregulated carbon dioxide emissions. Before meeting with the international community, EPA Director Whitman spoke about her positions on CNN's Crossfire.
Within days, four right-wing republicans (Chuck Hagel-Neb; Jesse Helms- S.C.; Larry Craig - Ida; and Pat Roberts- Kent) sent a letter to President Bush, demanding "clarification" on his position. The letter received significant publicity.
Furious, Whitman scheduled a meeting with President Bush. He did not allow her to speak at the meeting. Rather, he showed her a letter that he said was going to be the White House position, and then motioned her to leave.
On her way out, she noted VP Cheney was there to take the letter to the senators. A NYTs article would refer to this as, "the most immediate and visible loss of clout ever for a cabinet officer." ("Hostile Environment"; 8-19-01)
Paul O'Neill was sure that VP Cheney prompted and likely wrote the senators' letter to President Bush. Both O'Neill and Whitman were convinced Cheney wrote the letter that President Bush sent the senators.
These beliefs are found in two books: "The Price of Loyalty," by Ron Suskind (pgs 102-122) and "Crimes Against Nature," by Robert Kennedy, Jr, (pgs 50-52).
I do not consider it either weak or reckless for O'Neill to have discussed his beliefs about the underhanded, controlling, vicious, and pro-business actions of VP Cheney. I do not think he embarassed himself.
I think that DU Plame Threads participants may notice a pattern in the behaviors attributed to VP Cheney by a wide range of people.
H2O Man
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103. Kohodog- Patterns of Behavior-Two Articles on Cheney/Haliburton
From the Independent, via Common Dreams
Grand Jury Probes Cheney's Role in 'Illegal' Iran Trade
http://www.commondreams.org/headlines04/0722-03.htm Cheney Lobbied Congress To Ease Sanctions Against Terrorist Countries While He Was CEO Of Halliburton
http://www.commondreams.org/views04/0722-02.htm