ASPO updates etsimate of Peak Oil to occur 2008 (prev. est. was 2010)

[BlueEyedSon]

Not-quite-LBN from http://www.peakoil.net/

Colin Campbell and the Uppsala Hydrocarbon Depletion Study Group has now made the 2004 upgrade of the peak oil model. The peak is moved from 2010 to 2008.



Updating the Depletion Model
Work proceeds in updating the depletion model. It is less than an exact science to try to spot the anomalies in the data and to formulate realistic forecasts. It is an ongoing process, with the current status being reported. The present model departs from earlier ones in recognition that the Middle East no longer has sufficient spare capacity to discharge a swing role. A volatile epoch of recurring price shocks and consequential recessions dampening demand and price is now regarded as more likely, with terminal decline setting in and becoming self-evident by about 2010. The flat-earth detractors will relish pointing out that the estimates change, but others may take it as progress.

More: http://www.peakoil.net/uhdsg/Default.htm

[mhr]

1. Peak Oil Links Here

Websites of interest include:

http://www.lifeaftertheoilcrash.net/Home.html
http://globalpublicmedia.com/
http://www.oilcrash.com/running.htm
http://www.wolfatthedoor.org.uk/
http://www.durangobill.com/Rollover.html
http://www.asponews.org
http://www.gulland.ca/depletion/depletion.htm
http://www.dieoff.org/
http://www.oilanalytics.org/
http://www.greatchange.org/
http://www.oilcrisis.com/
http://www.after-oil.co.uk/
http://www.hubbertpeak.com/
http://hubbert.mines.edu
http://www.museletter.com/archive/cia-oil.html

Books:

Out of Gas: The End of the Age of Oil
by David Goodstein

The Party's Over: Oil, War and the Fate of Industrial Societies
by Richard Heinberg

Hubbert's Peak : The Impending World Oil Shortage
by Kenneth S. Deffeyes

The Last Hours of Ancient Sunlight : Waking Up to Personal and Global Transformation
by Thom Hartmann

The Oil Factor: How Oil Controls the Economy and Your Financial Future
by Stephen Leeb, Donna Leeb

News Groups:

Energy Resources
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/energyresources/

Alas Babylon
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/AlasBabylon/

Running on Empty
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/RunningOnEmpty2/

[BlueEyedSon]

2. Thx... and here:

http://www.doomsdayreport.com/links.html

[BlueEyedSon]

3. kick

[brokensymmetry]

4. Fascinating.

Basically, we've got 4 years before the party's over.

Amazing how little attention this is getting, isn't it?

[mom cat]

5. This is Bushies energy policy!

[BlueEyedSon]

6. Kick for the early birds

[Jose Diablo]

7. We need to get busy with alternate energy sources

It's coming, wishing it away will not work.

Solar, wind, TDP or even nuclear must be implemented of we will be walking to work with shovels and rakes to work a plot of land for subsistence living. Of course at a very reduced population level and a shorter lifespan.