interesting article - worth the click to read the whole thing
Howard and Bush face falling public support
The World Today - Tuesday, 4 May , 2004 12:18:00
Reporter: Eleanor Hall
http://www.abc.net.au/worldtoday/content/2004/s1101129.htmELEANOR HALL: While they put their final touches on next week's budget, members of the Government are no doubt also keeping a close eye on the polls as this year's federal election approaches.
And while a massive surplus is a huge plus for the Government, today's Newspoll reveals John Howard's Iraq policy is losing support amongst voters, with those supporting the war now outnumbered by those who say it was not worth fighting it.
The poll also shows Mr Howard would lose an election to Labor's Mark Latham if it were held now. It's a dramatic turnaround for a Prime Minister who six months ago appeared likely to trounce Labor.
And when Mr Howard visits the United States next month he'll find his counterpart, George W. Bush, who also goes to the polls at the end of this year, facing a similar change in his fortunes.
--snip---
JOHN ZOGBY: Well, you know, the picture, the metaphor of bouncing a rubber ball very hard in a concrete road, there'll be a very big bounce the first time. That's what happened after 9/11. But then the ball will go right back down. That's what happened about a year and a half to almost two years after 9/11, back down to gravity.
The President right before we bombed Baghdad in March of 2003 was a 50/50 president again. And then, during the so-called mission accomplished phase, the initial military war, the President shot up again, but just like that rubber ball, did not go as high the second bounce. Now he became a President in the high 60s, low 70s, but then his bounce only lasted about two months, he was back down the 50/50 again.
Saddam Hussein was captured, he got a bounce into the mid to high 50s. Again, like that rubber ball, not as high in the third bounce. And so essentially there is a magnetic pole that brings this President, but more importantly brings this nation back to 50/50.
The war in Iraq has produced not only a polarisation, but a high intensity on both sides. As I said before, two warring and distinctive camps, and so the national unity after 9/11 is gone.