http://www.oaklandtribune.com/Stories/0,1413,82~1865~2308107,00.htmlIn an echo of the savings and loan industry collapse of the 1980s, the federal agency that insures company pensions is facing a possible cascade of bankruptcies and pension defaults in the airline industry.
Some experts fear such problems could lead to another multibillion-dollar taxpayer bailout.
"The similarities are incredible," said George J. Benston, a finance professor at Emory University in Atlanta who has written extensively on the regulatory failures that led to the costly savings and loan bailout.
Deposits in savings institutions are, like pensions, guaranteed by a federal insurance program. The savings industry first sickened because changes in market conditions made the traditional way savings and loans operated unprofitable, but government delays and policy missteps then made the situation much worse. In the end taxpayers bailed out the industry -- at a cost, according to various estimates, of $150 billion to $200 billion.
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The Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp. is already hobbled by debt, having picked up the pieces of more than 3,200 failed pension plans in its 30-year life. The scale of the failures has risen sharply in the last three years, but the agency has few tools at its disposal to prevent the situation from becoming worse.
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It is impossible to predict the exact size of any pension bail-out, although economic projections by the agency suggest that in the worst case, a bailout within the next decade involving failures beyond the airlines could cost taxpayers up to $110 billion.
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"Ah'm gonna pick up whar ma daddy lef' off" - GWB (campaign 2000)