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Disaster Model Shows 13% Chance Of A Hurricane Hitting Gulf Spill

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tk2kewl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-30-10 10:11 AM
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Disaster Model Shows 13% Chance Of A Hurricane Hitting Gulf Spill
Source: DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

By Erik Holm


NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--Disaster models suggest a 13% chance of a hurricane hitting the Gulf oil spill this year, with the odds of a direct hit rising amid an active storm season, according to a company that predicts catastrophes.

The models indicate a 7% chance that an intense storm of Category 3 or higher hits the slick, bringing a strong storm surge and "the potential to carry tar deposits far inland," wrote Risk Management Solutions in a report released Wednesday.

That's higher than in an average storm season, when there would be a 4% chance of a direct hit from a strong storm, the company wrote.

Read more: http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20100630-707199.htm...
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Systematic Chaos Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-30-10 10:14 AM
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1. We don't even NEED a "direct hit".
Anything Cat 2 or higher within 250 miles, or any Cat 4 or higher within 500 miles would be a total disruption, I'd think. Hell, even this stupid little minor hurricane headed for the Texas/Mexico border is causing problems.

:eyes:
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Uncle Joe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-30-10 01:28 PM
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2. Kicked and recommended.
Thanks for the thread, tk2kewl.
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truthisfreedom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-30-10 01:30 PM
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3. Wall Street making book on the complete destruction of the South.
Perfect.
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Generic Other Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-30-10 01:55 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. a company that predicts catastrophes
what do you have to do to get a job at a place like that???
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superconnected Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-30-10 01:56 PM
Response to Original message
5. 3rd rec.
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bemildred Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-30-10 05:56 PM
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6. Well, I feel so much more hopeful now. nt
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