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MarketwatchSecond National Suburban Poll Shows Obama Pulling Ahead of McCain in Suburbs, Closing Gap in Rural Areas, Far Ahead in Cities
Last update: 2:34 p.m. EDT Oct. 29, 2008
HEMPSTEAD, N.Y., Oct 29, 2008 /PRNewswire-USNewswire via COMTEX/ -- Poll shows Obama with an eight-point lead among suburban voters, and a 10-point lead nationally
A new National Suburban Poll for The National Center for Suburban Studies at Hofstra University (NCSS) shows that the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden now enjoys the support of 47 percent of suburbanites, compared with only 39 percent of suburban registered voters who now say they back Republican John McCain and Sarah Palin. This is a major reversal from the first National Suburban poll just one month ago, which showed McCain/Palin leading Obama/Biden 48-42 percent in the nation's suburbs.
"Against a backdrop of growing economic pain in suburbia, Barack Obama has surged past John McCain among suburban 'swing' voters who usually decide national elections," said Lawrence C. Levy, NCSS executive director, citing one of the key findings in the second National Suburban Poll released today by the NCSS. "McCain needs the suburbs if he is to mount a comeback in the final week of the campaign."
"It is interesting to note that in the past month, the proportion of suburban voters that rate their financial situation as 'poor' or 'fair' hasn't changed, even though more of them now say that they or someone they know has seen pay cuts, reduced hours, or lost benefits," said NCSS Academic Director Christopher Niedt, Ph.D. "What has changed is that those who do see their financial situation negatively have swung toward Obama, and many of those voters appear to be the crucial suburban independents."
A month ago, those with a negative view of their personal finances supported Obama by a 10-point margin, 50 percent to 40 percent. Now, among those with a negative view of their finances, Obama has opened up a more than 30-point margin, 58-22.
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