Obama Lead Over McCain Narrows In ABC / Post Poll

[FreeStateDemocrat]

Source: Reuters/NYTimes



By REUTERS
Published: September 30, 2008
Filed at 7:09 p.m. ET

Skip to next paragraph WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama leads Republican John McCain by 50 percent to 46 percent among likely voters in a ABC News/Washington Post poll released on Tuesday, down from a 9-point edge a week earlier.

The new poll was conducted Saturday through Monday, after the candidates met in their first debate on Friday.

(Reporting by JoAnne Allen; Editing by Peter Cooney)



Read more: http://www.nytimes.com/reuters/washington/politics-us-u...

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Never minimize the stupidity of the American voting public or the level of racism.

[Bicoastal]

1. WHAT?!

You gotta be kidding me.

[tekisui]

3. mcPOW must have gotten a slight rise by showing his sorry sagging

face at the debate.

[Whalestoe]

2. Aren't weekends worse for Obama?

[torbird]

10. Yes. It's a fact.

Even if accurate, the implication of this poll is that the number of "undecideds" has shrunk to 4%. Obama is rolling, still at 50%.

[goclark]

4. Now it's their turn

They could not keep giving MCDaddy the shaft.
Sorry, Mc Granddaddy

[featherman]

5. A little polling "noise"... please don't take these top numbers at face value

The previous one was a little high... this one's a little low... all within the margin of error. Obama seems to have a nice lead of 5-6 points on average... a good position to be in. Leads are good.

[underpants]

16. Exactly it is a little dip in one poll counter to its own former poll

the first poll was a bit of outlier to begin with

[Sukie]

6. Well, if it's anything like that ridiculous poll

that the faux news guy took in PA, of course it going to look close.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KTkqosRiyYo

[The_Casual_Observer]

7. I don't remember anything about them reporting a 9 point lead for O.

Seems to me it all beibng reported as neck & neck or McCain slightly ahead, unless I've missed something.

[eowyn_of_rohan]

8. LIE

[tritsofme]

9. Obama never had a 9 point lead to begin with.

It was just noise.

Split undecideds down the middle and Obama wins the popular vote 52-48. Not bad.

[Zambero]

18. Yup, no trend here. Both of these ABC polls display margins of error

One on the high side, the other low. Obama's actual margin should be somewhere in the middle, around 6 or 7 percent.

[customerserviceguy]

22. Clearly

the nine point lead poll was an aberation, no other poll from that time was anywhere near that. If I flip a coin a thousand times, it could wind up 540-460 heads/tails ratio every once in awhile. It won't happen often, but it is within the realm of possibility.

[tritsofme]

23. Exactly, these polls are only designed

to be accurate within the MoE 95% of the time.

5% of polls are absolutely worthless.

[minnesota_liberal]

11. ABC - the fascist network that broadcast 'The Path to 9/11'?

I wouldn't pay much attention to any poll they came up with.

[tblue]

12. Good point. But, let it inspire us to work even harder!

[still_one]

13. Screw likely voters, I want polls with registered voters

those that I know can vote, not those who may register and vote

[yellerpup]

14. If voters aren't registered by now, then I really doubt they are 'likely' to vote.

When do likely voters stop being polled? Were these likely voters from states that have early voting? How many of them have until election day to register?

[kmdemqueen]

15. That sucks

[riverdeep]

17. Obama could gain some points by pointing out that what he refers to as being a maverick,

is actually just recklessness and a total deficit of understanding on the issues. When on Monday someone says the economy is strong, gets called on it, and then their FITST instinct is to attack the other because by fundamentals, you meant the workers, then a week later 'suspend' your campaign because there is such a crisis, well. That means this guy has no clue what's going on.

New theme "McCain is ERRATIC."

[Zambero]

19. 9% was too high; 4% is too low. = ABC margin of error?

I don't detect a trend here, rather a lot of "noise" in the statistical data. No other poll other than ABC had Obama at a 9% lead a week ago. Either one of these poll results would seem to be indicative of the statistical margin of error in the polling sample, one on the high side and the other low. Averaging the two would be more in line with other recent poll results (Gallup, Rasmussen, etc.), or about a 6% lead for Obama.

[Supersedeas]

20. Charlie and Georgie working the Obama flag pin issue again?

[Efilroft Sul]

21. Outlier.

Gotta keep selling the narrative that it's actually a close race, ABC...