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Latest Rasmussen: Obama 46% Clinton 45%

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Traveling_Home Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-15-08 05:51 PM
Original message
Latest Rasmussen: Obama 46% Clinton 45%
Source: Rasmussen Reports

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton essentially even in the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination. Its Obama 46% Clinton 45% (see recent daily results). This reflects an unusually sharp change from yesterdays results when Obama led by eight points and reached the 50% level of support for the first time. Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. Last nights results were very favorable for Clinton and it remains to be seen whether this marks a lasting change in the race or is merely statistical noise. Single night results are based upon very small samples and are more volatile than the overall tracking poll.



Read more: http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics...
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bhikkhu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-15-08 06:05 PM
Response to Original message
1. K&R
Reminds me of the brief time when * had his 90% approval...

Dips and spikes are temporary, little has changed to effect the stability of the core numbers.
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Sonnenschein Donating Member (251 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-15-08 06:06 PM
Response to Original message
2. It just shows how fragile everything in politics is.
Edited on Sat Mar-15-08 06:06 PM by Sonnenschein
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roguevalley Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-16-08 12:51 PM
Response to Reply #2
22. fortunately a lot of the bad stuff is coming out early.
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Gman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-15-08 06:15 PM
Response to Original message
3. This is not LBN
this belongs in GD: P

nice try.
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Hulk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-15-08 06:30 PM
Response to Original message
4. This is probably the best news the repugs could wish for....
We need to settle on the candidate eventually, and regardless of whether it is our first or second choice, just remember: ANYTHING is better than four more years of the chimp.

They have a zero candidate...so we had better be prepared for the shit to fly.
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caraher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-15-08 06:32 PM
Response to Original message
5. Who cares?
Nobody wins a state's delegates because some national survey gave a candidate or their opponent a lead. If Hillary's "ahead" by a point or 8 points or Obama's ahead by a point or 8 points we learn almost nothing about what voters in the next states to vote are thinking. And even then I say, who cares? That's the kind of "horse race" non-news the MSM needs to jettison.
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pnwmom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-15-08 09:27 PM
Response to Reply #5
13. The Superdelegates may care. If national polls at convention time CONSISTENTLY
put one candidate well out front, but that candidate was trailing in convention delegates, the Superdelegates might decide to vote for him or her.

In any case, it would be difficult for them to vote for the candidate who was NOT supported by a solid majority of Democrats at convention time.
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DavidDvorkin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-15-08 07:14 PM
Response to Original message
6. This has been reported numerous times in GD:P, where this belongs
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Misanthrope2 Donating Member (102 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-15-08 07:55 PM
Response to Original message
7. You forgot the negatives and Obama has risen to 49 percent
A new Rasmussen poll shows Clinton with 51 percent negative and Obama at 49 percent negative.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics...

Clinton's negative numbers are steady; Obama's are rising.

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Divine Discontent Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-15-08 08:19 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. I think I read that same exact post in another thread
hmm.. anyhow. Using one day's numbers is exciting, but when you're down about 150 delegates with just a few states left, it's really clear that the writing is on the wall - and - if (but extremely unlikely) Clinton persuades enough superdelegates (such a dumb idea from the start to have them) to vote for her, there will be about 20 million less voters for Clinton come November - and I, my 3 siblings, my Mother, my best friend and tons of people across this country will not work for the Clinton campaign (if that's how she would get the nomination) nor waste time voting. She would lose in a landslide.

Thankfully, it's a moot point since they know better than to cross the voters. The SD's will choose Obama nearly 2-1.
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AZ Criminal JD Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-15-08 09:14 PM
Response to Reply #8
11. There are 350 delegates left in the states to hold elections not 150.
Nice try to manipulate the math.
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Divine Discontent Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-16-08 12:26 AM
Response to Reply #11
16. I guess you believe there's a chance.
Politely, you actually think it's possible (and I'm not talking Lottery possible) for Sen. Clinton to garner 250 of those? Very unlikely. The worst he'll do is 40%, and I'm sure he's favored in some of those states. It just seems like she's doing it to destroy the chances of a DEM getting in, because once she's done misrepresenting who he is, tearing his policies down with rhetoric, and all the other things that her campaign is behind in discrediting him to try and get her in, she will look SILLY saying he's the choice far superior to McCain when she's been saying differently while still pretending she has a chance.

Again, Edwards was humble, respectful, and did what he did so the DEMS would win, Clinton doesn't seem to give a rat's ass, or has ulterior motives based on her very negative campaign decisions.
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goforit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-15-08 08:34 PM
Response to Original message
9. What a joke!!! .....Polls trying hard to make the Bushco Hilary look good! NOT!
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aquart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-15-08 10:54 PM
Response to Reply #9
15. Keep calling her a Republican, sweetie.
While you worship Obama with the single-minded purity of a loyal Bushie.
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Fluffdaddy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-15-08 08:44 PM
Response to Original message
10. NOW, the O supporters no longer believe in Polls...... Surprising
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AZ Criminal JD Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-15-08 09:18 PM
Response to Reply #10
12. Not surprising at all. Since the election season began the Obamaites have only trusted
Polls which showed O ahead. Any poll that had anything favorable to Clinton is dismissed as "old" or "an outlier."
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GigiMommy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-15-08 10:10 PM
Response to Original message
14. What troubles me MORE in that report...
"John McCain now holds a slight lead over both Democrats in the General Election. Its McCain 47% Obama 42% and McCain 46% Clinton 42% (see recent daily results). It appears that Clintons challenges to Obama may be helping McCain at least in the short-term. McCains polling numbers against Obama began improving during the run-up to the hard-fought Democratic Primaries in Ohio and Texas."

This squabbling between the Democratic candidates AND their supporters is causing McCain to gain ground. MCCAIN! Remember him? This party NEEDS to be united and quick or EVERYBODY LOSES and we get stuck with MCCAIN.
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AndyTiedye Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-16-08 12:32 AM
Response to Reply #14
17. and Zogby Has McCain Ahead by 5 or 6
In a year when by rights the Repiggies should be utterly unelectable, we are losing.

Is there any way to turn this around?


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SoCalDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-16-08 03:18 AM
Response to Reply #17
20. McCain is the "invisible man" right now.. Neither of our candidates
Edited on Sun Mar-16-08 03:18 AM by SoCalDem
are even talking about him much.. they are too busy trying to ruin each other's reputations..

Once we have a definitive candidate, Johnny M's negatives will be "highlighted" and he will fall back...
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AndyTiedye Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-16-08 12:49 PM
Response to Reply #20
21. We Didn't Get Any "Bounce" from the Convention Last Time
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pegleg Donating Member (788 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-17-08 10:52 PM
Response to Reply #20
24. Probably not because the RW controls the media
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merwin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-16-08 03:07 AM
Response to Reply #14
18. Polling lately doesn't seem to take into account the fact that "likely voter" doesn't
mean what it used to mean. There's a huge amount of first time voters and other unlikely voters coming out to vote for both of the Democratic candidates. How can McCain have a lead when the turnout for the Democratic primaries is almost double that of the Republican primaries?
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SoCalDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-16-08 01:02 PM
Response to Reply #18
23. and pollsters don't call cell phones..
That's why I don't really trust polls these days..

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JohnnyCougar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-16-08 03:18 AM
Response to Original message
19. This is because of Obama's priest.
The story is all over the place, and it's striking a chord with America's minority-frightened members. I think it will blow over once people realize what a non-story that is, though.
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RichKay Donating Member (16 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-18-08 01:36 AM
Response to Reply #19
25. NON STORY??? I THINK NOT
You think the racist and divisive statements made by Obama's closest friend and spiritual advisor of over 20 years is a non-story? And when Obama claims he was not present at the time his minister made the statements that he did. Are we supposed to accept that as a valid excuse for not disassociating himself from the church? I find it difficult to believe Obama was not aware of those statements being an active member of the church and closest friend of the man for over 20 years. Its quite telling actually as to Obama's character.
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