Tropical Storm Dean forms in Atlantic: NHC

[arcos]

Source: Reuters

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Tropical Storm Dean formed in the Atlantic Ocean, midway between western Africa and the Caribbean Sea, the U.S. National Hurricane Center said Tuesday.

<snip>

The NHC said in an advisory issued shortly before 11 a.m. EDT that the center of Dean was located about 1,030 miles west of the southernmost Cape Verde Islands and about 1,490 miles east of the Lesser Antilles.

<snip>

The NHC said Dean could strengthen into a Category 1 hurricane with winds of 74-95 mph in two to three days and a Category 2 (winds of 96-110 mph) or Category 3 (winds of 111-130 mph) storm in four or five days.

<snip>

GULF OF MEXICO DEPRESSION POSSIBLE

The NHC said a tropical depression could be forming in the south central Gulf of Mexico.

<snip>



Read more: http://www.reuters.com/article/domesticNews/idUSN1435501020070814?src=081407_1145_DOUBLEFEATURE_bracing_for_flossie

[Whoa_Nelly]

1. 3 and 5-day track prediction

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT04/refresh/AL0407W5_sm2+gif/143523W_sm.gif

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/143523.shtml?5day#contents

[arcos]

2. Computer models...

[Patsy Stone]

3. Here in Florida

We prefer the red one.

[A HERETIC I AM]

6. Here in Florida, we actually need one of those...at least the rain, not the wind..

You know as well as I do how low Lake Okeechobee is. What that storm needs to do is downgrade from a hurricane to a tropical depression just as it comes ashore in Palm Beach County and then sit over the lake until the skies clear.

[NashVegas]

7. Tell Me About It

The only way we're going to get rain in Tennessee, in the near future, is if a big storm hits the coast and travels up here.

[Patsy Stone]

11. That a good idea

And a wonderful use of this storm. I'm just not looking forward to hurricane mode, unless it's nothing more reason to stay home from work and watch DVDs all day.

[Malikshah]

4. Here in Broward Co., Florida my partner and I are waiting til

Saturday-- then we'll pull out the plywood and shutters and do the drill w/ the shopping. Tuna and battery casserole... yum!

:)

[JDPriestly]

5. Who chose the name? I'm oversensitive, but --

[amandabeech]

8. I think that the National Weather Service does it.

I seem to remember that they have a set of names that they rotate.

However, names in the first half of the alphabet get heavy use and it seems like they're always looking for something new. In addition, some names are retired, like Katrina and Andrew.

I'd be concerned if next season we get a Hillary, Barak or Barry, John, Bill, Joe, Chris, Dennis . . . well, you get the picture.

I think that the NWS was probably thinking more along the lines of the late Dean Martin, or for the early boomers, the old Beach Boys-style duo, Jan & Dean.

[knowledgeispwr]

10. They already have names for 6 years out...

They repeat and are rotated (which is why the names in the list below should be familiar). If a storm is especially destructive, they retire the name an add a new name to the list. For the Atlantic, names are English, Spanish and French, as those are the principle languages spoken in the Western Hemisphere vulnerable to to hurricanes.

2007
Andrea
Barry
Chantal
Dean
Erin
Felix
Gabrielle
Humberto
Ingrid
Jerry
Karen
Lorenzo
Melissa
Noel
Olga
Pablo
Rebekah
Sebastien
Tanya
Van
Wendy

2008
Arthur
Bertha
Cristobal
Dolly
Edouard
Fay
Gustav
Hanna
Ike
Josephine
Kyle
Laura
Marco
Nana
Omar
Paloma
Rene
Sally
Teddy
Vicky
Wilfred

2009
Ana
Bill
Claudette
Danny
Erika
Fred
Grace
Henri
Ida
Joaquin
Kate
Larry
Mindy
Nicholas
Odette
Peter
Rose
Sam
Teresa
Victor
Wanda

2010
Alex
Bonnie
Colin
Danielle
Earl
Fiona
Gaston
Hermine
Igor
Julia
Karl
Lisa
Matthew
Nicole
Otto
Paula
Richard
Shary
Tomas
Virginie
Walter

2011
Arlene
Bret
Cindy
Don
Emily
Franklin
Gert
Harvey
Irene
Jose
Katia
Lee
Maria
Nate
Ophelia
Philippe
Rina
Sean
Tammy
Vince
Whitney

2012
Alberto
Beryl
Chris
Debby
Ernesto
Florence
Gordon
Helene
Isaac
Joyce
Kirk
Leslie
Michael
Nadine
Oscar
Patty
Rafael
Sandy
Tony
Valerie
William

[amandabeech]

12. Thanks for posting all the names.

I was aware of the retirement of names of very destructive storms, hence my mention of Katrina. I am aware of the three languages. Perhaps the NWS will move to indigenous names at some point if the English, Spanish and French wear out.

[knowledgeispwr]

14. I think that would be pretty cool to use indigenous names...

like the English/French/Spanish names they use, they'd have to be fairly short.

[happyslug]

9. National Weather Service, here are the names:

Andrea
Barry
Chantal
Dean
Erin
Felix
Gabrielle
Humberto
Ingrid
Jerry
Karen
Lorenzo
Melissa
Noel
Olga
Pablo
Rebekah
Sebastien
Tanya
Van
Wendy
List of names for 2007-2012:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml

Rationale from NOAA:

Experience shows that the use of short, distinctive given names in written as well as spoken communications is quicker and less subject to error than the older more cumbersome latitude-longitude identification methods. These advantages are especially important in exchanging detailed storm information between hundreds of widely scattered stations, coastal bases, and ships at sea.

Since 1953, Atlantic tropical storms have been named from lists originated by the National Hurricane Center. They are now maintained and updated by an international committee of the World Meteorological Organization. The original name lists featured only women's names. In 1979, men's names were introduced and they alternate with the women's names. Six lists are used in rotation. Thus, the 2006 list will be used again in 2012. Here is more information about the history of naming hurricanes.

The only time that there is a change in the list is if a storm is so deadly or costly that the future use of its name on a different storm would be inappropriate for reasons of sensitivity. If that occurs, then at an annual meeting by the WMO committee (called primarily to discuss many other issues) the offending name is stricken from the list and another name is selected to replace it.

Several names have been changed since the lists were created. For example, on the 2004 list (which will be used again in 2010), Gaston has replaced Georges and Matthew has replaced Mitch. On the 2006 list, Kirk has replaced Keith. Here is more information about retired hurricane names.

In the event that more than 21 named tropical cyclones occur in the Atlantic basin in a season, additional storms will take names from the Greek alphabet: Alpha, Beta, Gamma, Delta, and so on. If a storm forms in the off-season, it will take the next name in the list based on the current calendar date. For example, if a tropical cyclone formed on December 28th, it would take the name from the previous season's list of names. If a storm formed in February, it would be named from the subsequent season's list of names.

[loser_user]

15. This set of names was first used in 1983

And used again in 1989, 1995, and 2001. Most notably in '95 four of the orgininal names were retired.

[RL3AO]

13. The depression has formed in the Gulf of Mexico

Parts of the Texas and Mexico coast are under Tropical Storm watches.

[happyslug]

16. Erin has arrived....

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT05/refresh/AL0507_PROB34_F120+gif/204523.gif
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/204523.shtml?tswind120#contents
The NOAA reports the storm existing but expects it to hit land within 72 hours and die out over Texas as a tropical Storm

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT05/refresh/AL0507T+gif/204523P_sm.gif

Earlier Threads on Dean:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=102x2953271
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=115x108420