Health care costs at General Motors Corp. and Ford Motor Co. will continue to rise at an alarming rate and are likely to spark a showdown with the United Auto Workers during upcoming contract talks, according to a new report released Monday by the respected credit-rating firm Fitch Inc.
Fitch looked at cash costs for health care at both GM and Ford and concluded that concessions made by the UAW in 2005 have not been enough to offset inflation-driven increases in health care spending, production cuts and the flow-back of workers from both automakers' former parts subsidiaries. Ford will see some modest gains as a result of its blue-collar buyout program, but both companies will continue to trend upward.
"The recent health care agreements with the UAW, changes to salaried health care programs and employee buyouts have pushed out the slope of the health care curve, but have done little to erase, or even narrow, the significant competitive disadvantage that these costs represent versus the transplant competition," Fitch stated in its report. "Health care will be the No. 1 issue in the upcoming labor talks, which are likely to be contentious."
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Fitch said GM is in a worse position than Ford because it has an older work force and its recent blue-collar buyout was more focused on convincing retirement-eligible workers to leave with their health care benefits than on persuading younger employees to sever their ties with the company. In contrast, Ford estimates that about half the workers who signed up for one of its hourly buyout packages opted for one that did not include lifetime health care benefits.
To make matters worse, GM will be assuming retiree obligations for thousands of former Delphi Corp. workers as part of a bailout deal with its one-time parts subsidiary. That will add more than $300 million in new health care costs to GM's ledger in 2007, according to the rating firm's analysis.
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