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New CNN poll shows Webb with slight edge on Allen...

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SaveElmer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 10:00 PM
Original message
New CNN poll shows Webb with slight edge on Allen...
Edited on Mon Oct-30-06 10:00 PM by SaveElmer
Webb ahead outside margin of error...%50 - %46

Third in the last day!!!

http://www.dailypress.com/news/local/virginia/dp-sou--v...
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NastyRiffraff Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 10:18 PM
Response to Original message
1. Yeah, Macaca Man's big mistake...
..was pissing off Jim Webb.

I've said all along that Webb shoulda pushed his record...now he's doing it. I only PRAY that it's not too late. This poll gives me some hope.

VA is one of those funny states, that's actually two states. NoVa will go Webb, no question. But there are still a lot of the Old Confederacy in VA, from Richmond on down, that George Felix Allen is talking to in racist code.

Yes, George Felxi Allen is a racist. And believe me, I don't normally call people that; I think that word has been batted around too lightly. But in this case, it applies.
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longship Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 10:34 PM
Response to Original message
2. That's no *slight* lead.
With the Rasmussen poll today showing nearly identical results, this is not a slight lead.

Rasmussen: Webb 51/Macaca 46
Gallup: Webb 50/Macaca 46

If these are accurate--and since they both indicate the same thing there's no reason to think otherwise--Macaca is in HUGH111 trouble.

Both these show Webb in the majority. That means that any undecideds are only going to add to Webb's majority, no matter how many votes Macaca gains from them.

Majority polling for a candidate is usually an indication that they're going to win.
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SaveElmer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 10:40 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. I can't bring myself to say that...but
I can say I have never seen Democrats in Virginia so enthusiatic about a candidate in the 21 years I have lived here...

At first Webb was seen as a man who could give Allen fits and was voted for on that basis...but now there is geniune and deep respect for him...a real developing devotion...

Having someone of his background, with his accomlishments embrace the Democratic Party here has really drawn folks to him...

It is really quite something to see!
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longship Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 10:50 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. I was merely stating what conventional wisdom is
When a candidate polls at or above 50% that means that undecideds cannot help his opponent! This is not just my opinion, but a *fact*.

If these two polls--both showing Webb with a majority--are accurate, Macaca is going to lose next week.
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NastyRiffraff Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 11:07 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. longship, hope and pray you're right!
We here in Maryland are watching the VA race very closely.

Again, you don't piss off an old soldier like Jim Webb and not expect to pay the price. I hope Macaca Man pays a BIG price!
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underpants Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 09:10 AM
Response to Reply #3
13. Webb really does come off as Senatorial now doesn't he?
At first he seemed a bit wooden and impersonal but that now looks like steadiness and consistency while Allen is all over the place and is clearly a paper tiger.


It is also clear that everything Allen is trying is blowing up in his face. We'll see how it turns out (lets just say that W's win here by 8% two years ago came from no where ) but I think it is safe to say that in the last three state elections (M.Warner, Kaine, and now Webb) Virginians don't like negative ads. Kaine was going to win anyway but Kilgore's death penalty ad turned a lot of people way off. Allen whining about "that happened __ years ago...not that it really happened mind you" and now trying to paint Webb as a pedophile (heard that on the radio on Friday) or a degenerate just doesn't wash.

I don't want to count any chickens yet though.

I would say that support for Mark Warner was the strongest that *I* have ever seen for a Dem but then Earley wasn't much of a candidate and the Gilmore/ALLEN years were really weighing heavy on people. I know that everyone points to "Macaca" for all of this but I think that Webb was going to get close anyway. People around here are sick of DC and those types.


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pa28 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 11:22 PM
Response to Original message
6. Looks like the Drudge/Allen smear attempt backfired. n/t
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Mark E. Smith Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 08:39 AM
Response to Original message
7. AP: Webb Has Slight Lead In Virginia Senate Race
Edited on Tue Oct-31-06 08:19 AM by Mark E. Smith
RICHMOND, Va. - Democrat Jim Webb is slightly ahead of Republican incumbent
Sen. George Allen with a week to go in a key race that could determine control
of the Senate, according to a poll released Tuesday.

The poll by Opinion Research Corp. is the first to show Webb with an advantage
in the bruising and expensive contest in once reliably Republican Virginia.

Among likely voters, the former Republican was the choice of 50 percent of those
surveyed while 46 percent favored Allen and 4 percent were undecided.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20061031/ap_on_re_us/virgini...
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Hav Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 08:39 AM
Response to Reply #7
8. .
Rasmussen had Webb leading as well. I hope this trend continues until election day and that the Dems get out the vote there.
I heard that Allen is hammering the gay issue again to mobilize his base :eyes:.
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corporatemedia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 08:50 AM
Response to Original message
9. Damn good news. A chance to beat BOTH Virginia senators....
Santorum and Allen.
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ramapo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 09:01 AM
Response to Original message
10. Mind boggling
Amazing that Webb is winning in a rout. A Vietnam-vet,fmr. Secy of Navy vs. a hooligan.

Virginia is a strange place....
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NorthernSpy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 09:02 AM
Response to Original message
11. YES!
:applause:

I almost dare to feel optimistic these days...
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Jawja Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 09:06 AM
Response to Original message
12. But I thought the
Repugs were gaining ground at the last minute and are all set to save the House and the Senate.... :shrug:
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Fluffdaddy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 11:26 AM
Response to Original message
14. After November 2004 I no longer trust polls. lets not get overconfident
Lets keep working. make sure your left leaning family and friends make it to the polls
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w4rma Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 11:50 AM
Response to Reply #14
15. After November 2000 I no longer trust voting. Let's GOtV and turnout like
we've never turned out before.
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goforit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 11:52 AM
Response to Original message
16. Come on Webb...keep pounding!!
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