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ABC/WP: Bush Approval Withers Under Iraq, Foley Pressure

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RamboLiberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-09-06 05:12 PM
Original message
ABC/WP: Bush Approval Withers Under Iraq, Foley Pressure
http://abcnews.go.com/US/story?id=2546110&page=1

An unpopular war led by a beleaguered president has pushed the Republican Party back to a deep deficit in voter preferences. But the Mark Foley scandal, while it hasn't helped, is a distant concern, with many doubting that the Democrats would've handled it any better.

The scandal's likeliest impact is that it forces the Republicans off the anti-terrorism message that remains their best push back against the broad discontent with the war in Iraq. The scandal has erased the minor gains the Republicans showed around the 9/11 anniversary.

Among registered voters, the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll finds the Democrats with a 54-41 percent lead in the congressional horse race, a gauge of the national mood rather than the status of individual state- and district-level races. (The lead is the same, 54-41 percent, among likely voters.) That's the biggest Democratic lead this close to Election Day in more than 20 years.

Just 32 percent of Americans, moreover, approve of the way Congress is doing its job the lowest approval rating in a decade, although still much higher than it was before the 1994 election, in which the Republicans gained control of both the House and Senate.

<snip>

For just the second time in ABC/Post polls, however, most a new high of 53 percent disapprove of how Bush has handled the broader U.S. campaign against terrorism, a blow to what has been his greatest strength. Just half said the country is safer now than it was before 9/11, down from what's usually been a clear majority. Indeed, such are his woes that less than half, 44 percent, now give Bush credit for the fact that another major terrorist attack hasn't occurred in this country since 9/11. And while 51 percent still see the war in Iraq as part of the war on terrorism, that's a new low.

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allisonthegreat Donating Member (586 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-09-06 05:15 PM
Response to Original message
1. Now if we could get the rest of the 47%
To see reality!
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JoFerret Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-09-06 10:37 PM
Response to Original message
2. Salience nugget
<<A salience test puts the Foley matter in perspective: Eighty-three percent of registered voters call Iraq very important to their vote; 78 percent say the same of terrorism; 77 percent the economy; 71 percent health care; 65 percent ethics in general. By contrast, just 18 percent give that kind of importance to the Foley situation.>>
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DeepModem Mom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-10-06 04:20 AM
Response to Original message
3. WP: Democrats' Midterm Momentum Mounts, Poll Finds
Democrats' Midterm Momentum Mounts, Poll Finds
GOP Loses Ground Over Iraq Developments, Hill Scandal
By David S. Broder and Dan Balz
Washington Post Staff Writers
Monday, October 9, 2006

Democrats have regained a commanding position going into the final weeks of the midterm election, with support eroding for Republicans on Iraq, ethics and presidential leadership, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News Poll.

Apparent Republican gains in September have been wiped out in the face of mounting U.S. casualties and gloomy forecasts from Iraq and the scandal involving Rep. Mark Foley (R-Fla.), who was forced to quit the Congress over sexually graphic e-mails with former House pages.

Congressional approval has plunged to its lowest level in more than a decade (32 percent) and by a margin of 54-35 percent, Americans say they trust Democrats over Republicans to deal with the biggest problems facing the country. Fifty-five percent of those surveyed said Democrats in Congress deserve to be reelected in November, but just 39 percent said Republicans deserve to be returned to office.

The poll measures broad public attitudes and cannot be translated directly into individual House districts, but it sketches an environment that is as difficult for the Republicans as they have faced since they took power in the 1994 elections. By a margin of 54-41 percent, registered voters said they planned to vote for the Democrat over the Republican in House races next month....

***

President Bush's approval rating, which rose to 42 percent in September following an anti-terrorism offensive marking the fifth anniversary of the attacks of Sept. 11, 2001, registered 39 percent in the latest poll. The percentage who said they strongly disapprove of his performance is roughly double the number who strongly approve....

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/20...
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Straight Shooter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-10-06 04:20 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. Hey Repubs ---- Live by the sword of lies, die by the sword of lies.
I'm fervently praying the Repubs get out of power and stay out of power, forever. Even if people are foolish enough to legitimately vote another Repub into office, I hope his or her power is kept in check by a Congress which values the Constitution.
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Doctor_J Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-10-06 04:20 AM
Response to Reply #3
5. Support eroding for presidential leadership?
how can there be any left? Iraq is anarchy. Afghanistan is back in the hands of the taliban. NK has nukes. Iran is making fun of Smirk. The GOP is neck deep in a pedophile scandal. And Smirk's response is to go to fundraisers all day, every day.
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gumby Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-10-06 04:20 AM
Response to Reply #3
6. Thanks Dave,
but you're irrelevant. :puke:

Except perhaps, to the incestuous chatter between the DC Class Warriors.
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spooky3 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-10-06 04:20 AM
Response to Reply #3
7. keep in mind that WaPo-ABC polls usually are on the high side
Edited on Mon Oct-09-06 09:37 PM by spooky3
of approval for * (as are Fox and often, Gallup).

Check out

www.pollkatz.com

and click on the approval link to see the graphic.

(I didn't link directly to his graphic, due to bandwidth issues).
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Kurovski Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-10-06 04:20 AM
Response to Reply #3
8. So now what time is Bush attacking Iran again?
I can't imagine that a new war front weeks before an election would help the Repubs, but I can indeed imagine them using it as an excuse to explain away stolen elections.
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buddysmellgood Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-10-06 04:20 AM
Response to Reply #3
9. We'll all be asking, Why don't the election results match the polls? How
could it be so different? It's statistically impossible...and so it goes.
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Phredicles Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-10-06 04:20 AM
Response to Reply #3
10. Do these results take into account the NKorean developments?
I hear Randi Rhodes and some others concerned that fear of NKorean nukes might help the Rethugs but I truly don't see why it should. This one went south completely on Il Dunce's watch.
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Kurovski Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-10-06 04:20 AM
Response to Reply #10
11. The powers that be will use it as an excuse if they need to.
"Voters were scared, and changed their minds once in the voting booth."

This, despite polls that will show 25 point lags for Repuber candidates prior to the election.

Maybe. Who the hell knows anymore? :shrug:
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