Reply #65: The OP needs to be a bit clearer here

[RZM]

US airstrikes? US ground invasion/occupation? Israeli airstrikes? Joint airstrikes?

I think most people here would oppose any and all permutations of those scenarios, but they are very different things and they differ greatly in their likelihoods.

I believe any direct US military involvement in Iran under the Obama administration is highly unlikely. I believe it's only slightly more likely in a Republican administration (and for some candidates, probably equally unlikely, their boasting notwithstanding). A full on invasion, which would require a 'real' war footing on our part, i.e. mobilization, is totally off the table and always has been. IMO, a US airstrike was rejected as an option in the last administration and continues to be rejected in this one.

Israel is a different story. I believe they are seriously mulling an airstrike. If I had to bet on it though, I would guess that they will not take that course of action before Iran has the bomb.

I would absolutely oppose any US involvement. And I guess I would oppose an Israeli strike as well, though less forcefully.