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Reply #17: I predict that you will be wrong. [View All]

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Home » Discuss » General Discussion: Presidency Donate to DU
FrenchieCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-19-09 08:00 PM
Response to Original message
17. I predict that you will be wrong.
Just like before. I've seen the pattern.


depakid (1000+ posts) Sat Jan-19-08 02:03 AM
Response to Reply #2
6. Sorry- but this is a serious weakness of Obama's
He makes these sorts of off the cuff remarks because he's both inexperienced and grandious. At first, you could chalk it up to rookie mistakes, but the more he doesit- the more it seems ingrained.

As I've predicted many times before, eventually these will be his downfall. Hopefully sooner than the general election...
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...



depakid (1000+ posts) Mon Jul-21-08 05:58 PM
Response to Reply #13
15. Cheap (as in inexpensive) polling during the campaign isn't predictive
Especially this year- where they've been all over the mark- to the point of being useless.

Looking at the actual results and figuring out how many Kerry voters Obama has to retain (he won't retain them all) plus how many Bush voters he has to convert, along with whatever percentage of new voters that are likely to vote Obama give us a much better gauge of what'll likely happen on election day.

Historically, a 10% swing is huge- unlikely, but not unheard of in a state with demographics like Virgina. A 20% swing in a state like Indiana would require such a massive shift that unless there's an utter and complete meltdown on McCain's side as perceived by ordinary, generally uniformed voters- it's not going to happen.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...


depakid (1000+ posts) Mon Aug-18-08 01:48 PM
Response to Original message
25. Obama's NOT going to win Indiana and doesn't need to
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...



depakid (1000+ posts) Fri Sep-05-08 05:30 PM
Response to Original message
8. McCain can win by tearing down Obama
and Obama can lose by returning to the defensive and failing to go after McCain and Palin with negative ads.

The've been squandered golden opportunities in this regard time and time again, and with their money advantage, there's really no excuse.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...


depakid (1000+ posts) Thu Aug-21-08 07:22 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. "after he crushed his opponent in the debate. "
Therein lies the problem. Obama has shown no evidence of knowing how to go for the jugular.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...


depakid (1000+ posts) Tue Aug-19-08 02:03 PM
Response to Original message
6. This is why is it was STUPID to give McCain a pass for most of the summer
Edited on Tue Aug-19-08 02:04 PM by depakid
and why every single sycophant who rationalized or argued against going after McCain et al from June on out was wrong.


Thermodynamics trumps economics
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book_worm (1000+ posts) Tue Aug-19-08 02:05 PM
Response to Reply #6
9. Nobody gave McCain a pass for the summer.

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depakid (1000+ posts) Tue Aug-19-08 02:13 PM
Response to Reply #9
26. Bullshit
Edited on Tue Aug-19-08 02:13 PM by depakid
Obama spent June and the first week of July going after his own base, while McCain & Co. made stupid and outrageous statement and action after statement and action with impunity.

I didn't see anything remotely tough in terms of ads defining McCain in no uncertain terms until about two or three weeks ago- while McCain's been hammering away in the battleground states with the usual Republican garbage.

Garbage that- in this country- wins elections.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...


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