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Reply #2: I've used Intrade -- Hillary was Beating Obama for Prez for Months [View All]

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Home » Discuss » General Discussion: Presidency Donate to DU
vroomvroom Donating Member (496 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jun-12-11 04:20 PM
Response to Original message
2. I've used Intrade -- Hillary was Beating Obama for Prez for Months
So it only gets accurate about 1-week before. So i will wait until next year before i can fully be sure which way things will go.
One pattern that is consistent...no president has ever won re-election when the unemployment was about 7% . Obama is sitting at nearly 10%...yikes!
It also doesnt help that Obama very much enjoys pushing republican talking points. And as Truman said when the people have a choice of a democrat acting like a republican vs a real republican they will choose the real any day.

So as it stands, for me, Obama has a 50/50 shot vs Romney. I just wish Obama was a strong supporter for his base. He is most definitely not.
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  -If you're uneasy about polls or doubt 2012... Drunken Irishman  Jun-12-11 04:06 PM   #0 
  - I can't see him not be reelected.  Forkboy   Jun-12-11 04:19 PM   #1 
  - Seriously and sincerely, I couldn't see Bush being reelected, so  gateley   Jun-12-11 05:59 PM   #4 
  - I know, that's why I didn't want to state it as an absolute.  Forkboy   Jun-12-11 06:08 PM   #5 
  - With Diebold on their side...  lame54   Jun-14-11 08:27 AM   #18 
  - I've used Intrade -- Hillary was Beating Obama for Prez for Months  vroomvroom   Jun-12-11 04:20 PM   #2 
  - The past is just that...the past.  Drunken Irishman   Jun-12-11 04:46 PM   #3 
  - I wonder who you'll vote for  CakeGrrl   Jun-12-11 06:12 PM   #6 
  - "no president has ever won re-election when the unemployment was about 7%"  jberryhill   Jun-12-11 07:13 PM   #8 
  - 9.1% is "nearly 10%"?? .... sure ... if you stink at math maybe. nt  JoePhilly   Jun-13-11 07:26 AM   #12 
  - FDR won re-election twice with unemployment over 10%.  bornskeptic   Jun-13-11 08:40 AM   #14 
  - Re: Romney, there are perhaps millions of religiously conservative evangelicals  elocs   Jun-12-11 07:13 PM   #7 
  - Without substantial improvement in the economy and unemployment, I think he will lose.  badtoworse   Jun-12-11 07:20 PM   #9 
  - So why isn't he getting the blame now?  Drunken Irishman   Jun-13-11 12:36 AM   #11 
  - 60% blame him for the poor economy.  Dawgs   Jun-13-11 01:09 PM   #15 
     - A Rasmussen poll a couple months ago said only 39% blame Obama for economy...  Drunken Irishman   Jun-13-11 05:44 PM   #16 
  - That's why so many top Republicans are scrambling to run against him.  JoePhilly   Jun-13-11 07:27 AM   #13 
  - same here ..and what a wasted opportunity :( He really needs to stop pandering also.  krabigirl   Jun-13-11 07:35 PM   #17 
  - I never stress about polls.  bigwillq   Jun-12-11 07:32 PM   #10 
 

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