FBaggins
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Wed Nov-03-10 11:49 AM
Response to Reply #58 |
| 59. A junior high psych student could see through your avoidance. |
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Edited on Wed Nov-03-10 11:50 AM by FBaggins
I'd tell you that it's cute... but it's really just childish (which... come to mention it... explains both the Scooby Doo references and the sub-elementary math skills... I think I've figured you out at last!)
So when you said "Sestak Just Locked PA, Bank On It!... Done deal, I'm telling you. Perfectly timed and effective. Done... He will win this." that really meant that it was POSSIBLE that Sestak would win... right?
"words have meanings" indeed.
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| -Could the Polls be Wrong? |
babylonsister |
Nov-02-10 08:11 AM |
#0 |
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Even Better . . . |
DarthDem |
Nov-02-10 08:15 AM |
#1 |
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Untill they begin polling cell phone users |
Tippy |
Nov-02-10 08:24 AM |
#2 |
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It seems this idea needs as many posts as there are believers. |
Igel |
Nov-02-10 11:12 AM |
#8 |
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Most polling agencies that do poll cells, only poll a very small sample of them. |
krabigirl |
Nov-02-10 11:24 AM |
#12 |
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I Do Not Think That Is Accurate |
DemocratSinceBirth |
Nov-02-10 11:45 AM |
#15 |
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Pew says..... |
Tippy |
Nov-02-10 12:44 PM |
#36 |
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But They Are Being Polled |
DemocratSinceBirth |
Nov-02-10 12:56 PM |
#39 |
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Very few are being polled ...it cost to much..... |
Tippy |
Nov-02-10 03:47 PM |
#46 |
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One problem with cell phones... |
zelda7743 |
Nov-02-10 01:19 PM |
#43 |
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There is an issue regarding likely voters |
Alcibiades |
Nov-02-10 08:38 AM |
#3 |
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but here's what i don't get, why is it so supprising that the |
okieinpain |
Nov-02-10 12:44 PM |
#35 |
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The closer they call the vote |
randr |
Nov-02-10 09:01 AM |
#4 |
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Blumenthal's first sentence is excellent, but the second does not flow from it |
karynnj |
Nov-02-10 10:27 AM |
#5 |
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Yes |
Robbins |
Nov-02-10 10:32 AM |
#6 |
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We'll find out tonight, but the statistical probablity is pretty small. |
wmbrew0206 |
Nov-02-10 10:44 AM |
#7 |
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no, the probability isn't small |
Teaser |
Nov-02-10 11:20 AM |
#11 |
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There would have to be something very, very, different about this election |
wmbrew0206 |
Nov-02-10 11:33 AM |
#14 |
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Minority turnout |
Hawkowl |
Nov-02-10 11:59 AM |
#20 |
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I see what you are saying, but some pollsters are using a model turnout similiar |
wmbrew0206 |
Nov-02-10 12:07 PM |
#22 |
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We shall see |
Hawkowl |
Nov-02-10 12:16 PM |
#25 |
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Shit, no. I've been reading so many different polls, I can't remember where I read that. |
wmbrew0206 |
Nov-02-10 12:19 PM |
#26 |
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Well we will know |
Hawkowl |
Nov-02-10 12:22 PM |
#27 |
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The Dems Lost 72 Seats In 1938 |
DemocratSinceBirth |
Nov-02-10 12:32 PM |
#31 |
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Noted but... |
Hawkowl |
Nov-02-10 12:59 PM |
#41 |
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All the data in the world doesn't tell us what the probabilities are though |
Teaser |
Nov-02-10 03:05 PM |
#45 |
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Deleted message |
Name removed |
Nov-02-10 11:50 AM |
#16 |
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Nate Has A Very Short Track Record Although An Excellent One |
DemocratSinceBirth |
Nov-02-10 11:58 AM |
#18 |
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Depends how the poll numbers are |
Ter |
Nov-02-10 02:33 PM |
#44 |
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Do they poll Spanish speakers? nt |
flamingdem |
Nov-02-10 11:13 AM |
#9 |
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The Register Voter Vs. Likely Voter Spread Is Ridiculous This Year |
Beetwasher |
Nov-02-10 11:14 AM |
#10 |
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Nothing to worry about. |
FBaggins |
Nov-02-10 12:25 PM |
#28 |
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Aww, It's Scrappy Doo! |
Beetwasher |
Nov-02-10 12:31 PM |
#30 |
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You've been entertaining. |
FBaggins |
Nov-02-10 12:36 PM |
#32 |
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My Run? Have I Been Running For Something? |
Beetwasher |
Nov-02-10 12:38 PM |
#33 |
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Your "run" of pretending that we gained and held the momentum weeks ago. |
FBaggins |
Nov-02-10 12:41 PM |
#34 |
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We Did Get Momentum Weeks Ago |
Beetwasher |
Nov-02-10 12:50 PM |
#37 |
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We did? |
FBaggins |
Nov-02-10 12:57 PM |
#40 |
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Yes, We Did, Scrappy! |
Beetwasher |
Nov-02-10 01:00 PM |
#42 |
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Survey says? No... we didn't. |
FBaggins |
Nov-02-10 08:20 PM |
#48 |
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Sure we Did |
Beetwasher |
Nov-03-10 06:36 AM |
#50 |
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So you think that in August we were set to lose 80 seats and just improved from there? |
FBaggins |
Nov-03-10 07:22 AM |
#51 |
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Sometimes Momentum Gets You Across The Finish Line, Sometimes It Doesn't |
Beetwasher |
Nov-03-10 09:46 AM |
#52 |
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"momentum" involved moving in the right direction. |
FBaggins |
Nov-03-10 10:38 AM |
#53 |
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Momentum Helped Dems Hold Onto The Senate IMO |
Beetwasher |
Nov-03-10 10:43 AM |
#54 |
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Nope. Triage did... just as I advised at the time. |
FBaggins |
Nov-03-10 11:04 AM |
#55 |
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See, You Have To Resort To Just Making Shit Up, Scrappy! |
Beetwasher |
Nov-03-10 11:18 AM |
#56 |
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"I never said any of those things" |
FBaggins |
Nov-03-10 11:39 AM |
#57 |
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C'mon Scrappy, Just Admit It, You're In Love With Me |
Beetwasher |
Nov-03-10 11:44 AM |
#58 |
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A junior high psych student could see through your avoidance. |
FBaggins |
Nov-03-10 11:49 AM |
#59 |
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Nahh, I Was Wrong About Sestak, But That Race Was Pretty Damn Close! |
Beetwasher |
Nov-03-10 11:54 AM |
#60 |
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Didn't know you could write that... good job. |
FBaggins |
Nov-03-10 12:01 PM |
#61 |
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Oh, But I Think I Am Your Type, Since You Seem To Follow Me Around Everywhere |
Beetwasher |
Nov-03-10 12:08 PM |
#62 |
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More evidence, thanks |
FBaggins |
Nov-03-10 12:15 PM |
#63 |
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Things WERE Much Worse In August , Without A Doubt! |
Beetwasher |
Nov-03-10 12:20 PM |
#64 |
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Find me an analyst that said so |
FBaggins |
Nov-03-10 12:57 PM |
#65 |
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So Are You Saying They Weren't Worse In August? |
Beetwasher |
Nov-03-10 01:02 PM |
#66 |
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Lol! Do you even remember how this debate started? |
FBaggins |
Nov-03-10 01:24 PM |
#67 |
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What Planet Do You Live On? |
Beetwasher |
Nov-03-10 01:31 PM |
#68 |
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Earth. You should visit some time. |
FBaggins |
Nov-03-10 01:34 PM |
#69 |
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LOL! You Must Have Been Living Under A Rock Over The Summer |
Beetwasher |
Nov-03-10 01:36 PM |
#70 |
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Game Set and Match |
FBaggins |
Nov-03-10 01:43 PM |
#72 |
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LOL!! What Does That Show???? Nothing! (Actually, It Shows I Was RIGHT! Thanks!) |
Beetwasher |
Nov-03-10 01:46 PM |
#73 |
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Still waiting. |
FBaggins |
Nov-03-10 01:59 PM |
#74 |
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LOL! Man, You Just Can't Take It Can You? I Was Right, The Chances Were Slim And We Kept The Senate! |
Beetwasher |
Nov-03-10 02:03 PM |
#75 |
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Is it some kind of personality disorder that I should be more sensitive to? |
FBaggins |
Nov-03-10 02:10 PM |
#76 |
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Umm, Not Even Your Pal Nate Silver Makes Predictions Like That In August, Scrappy! |
Beetwasher |
Nov-03-10 02:14 PM |
#77 |
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Some of them, maybe, but not all of them. |
Arkana |
Nov-02-10 11:25 AM |
#13 |
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Screw the narrative, Vote! |
LatteLibertine |
Nov-02-10 11:53 AM |
#17 |
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I'm holding out hope because most "leads" show them under 50%. |
timkainemustgo |
Nov-02-10 11:59 AM |
#19 |
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The "under 50%" rule primarily applies to incumbents. |
FBaggins |
Nov-02-10 12:27 PM |
#29 |
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There was not a single poll prior to 11/08 showing Obama winning by 9 million votes. |
David Zephyr |
Nov-02-10 12:03 PM |
#21 |
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I Must Repectfully Disagree |
DemocratSinceBirth |
Nov-02-10 12:13 PM |
#24 |
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I Heard This On TV Today: |
Dinger |
Nov-02-10 12:10 PM |
#23 |
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Rhetorical |
Riley133 |
Nov-02-10 12:52 PM |
#38 |
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I hope all the gleeful crowing about the Republican tsunami, combined with the |
tblue37 |
Nov-02-10 05:31 PM |
#47 |
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Looks like "no" |
FBaggins |
Nov-02-10 08:20 PM |
#49 |
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Hindsight is 20/20 |
niceypoo |
Nov-03-10 01:39 PM |
#71 |