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Reply #11: 5- Based on the latest 23 RV polls, the GOP has a 65% win probability (222 seats). nt [View All]

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tiptoe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-26-10 08:06 PM
Response to Reply #3
11. 5- Based on the latest 23 RV polls, the GOP has a 65% win probability (222 seats). nt
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  -10/22 Richard Charnin Midterms Forecast: Dems need 75% turnout & 75% of undecideds to win House tiptoe  Oct-25-10 10:33 PM   #0 
  - I'd like to believe there is hope but  Pab Sungenis   Oct-25-10 10:44 PM   #1 
  - Suppression of 3 prelim-national & 51 unadjusted-state exit polls in 2008 shows the MSM is desperate  tiptoe   Oct-25-10 11:15 PM   #4 
  - We don't need a 75% turnout for Democrats.  LiberalFighter   Oct-25-10 11:05 PM   #2 
  - Try 89.6% turnout in 2008, 88.5% in 2004 (0.3% Margin of Error)  tiptoe   Oct-25-10 11:39 PM   #5 
  - I appreciate the work it took to post this but I'll wait for the executive summary  usregimechange   Oct-25-10 11:08 PM   #3 
  - 1- Senate Forecast- Based on latest LV, MC Simulation projects 51-47 Dem Majority--GOP= 4% win prob.  tiptoe   Oct-26-10 10:05 AM   #6 
  - 2-Senate Forecast- Based on RV&LV poll mix, Dems will have a 53-45 majority; GOP=ZERO % win prob, if  tiptoe   Oct-26-10 10:09 AM   #7 
  - RealClearPolitics.com == LV-only final-week polls, Unweighted Avgs, unallocated Undecided Voters.  tiptoe   Oct-26-10 01:49 PM   #8 
  - 3- Dem Senate Wins: Effect of Turnout of LV-excluded RegisteredVoters & Vote-Switch Fraud % to GOP  tiptoe   Oct-26-10 01:52 PM   #9 
  - 4- CNN/Time 18 RV poll UnWtd Avg = 5.2% Dem advantage...RV Weighted Avg = 9.0% Dem advantage  tiptoe   Oct-26-10 06:51 PM   #10 
  - 5- Based on the latest 23 RV polls, the GOP has a 65% win probability (222 seats). nt  tiptoe   Oct-26-10 08:06 PM   #11 
  - I don't know how I missed this thread.....but I have spent  Tippy   Oct-27-10 08:50 PM   #12 
 

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