Reply #6: I happen to think you're right, but my prediction is that by the time we

[napi21]

get to a week or few days before Nov. 2nd, many of the predictors will say the race is tightening and many races are now up in the air. They'll do this to play the cya trick. Why do you thnk they use that "margin of error" story? Those plling firms make TONS of money blowing smoke and I do think they have a bit of a betterfeeling about what the majority of people are thinking but when they give you a margin of error of +/- 4% that really means they could be wrong by 8% which these days isn't really that close at all!