A good rule of thumb used to be to take the organizer crowd estimates and divide by 3, but nowadays you probably need to divide by 10. Both sides/all sides exaggerate these numbers. You can't trust the organizer turnout numbers from any group (left or right) as they have an interest in jacking up the totals to create more of a story in the media.
If they are claiming 450k, it's a good bet there are actually 45k or so. That is still a good turnout for them.
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