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Reply #128: And the reason the Greenpeace and Friends of the Earth folks went along was? [View All]

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caraher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Dec-06-09 02:32 PM
Response to Reply #125
128. And the reason the Greenpeace and Friends of the Earth folks went along was?
This really devastates your thesis that CERRIE did not give Busby's ideas a fair trial, in my opinion. What is their motive?

The new articles you link say things like

"The main report of the expert committee is believed to say that the risks from radiation for leukaemia could be up to 10 times the current estimate. But it failed to mention the theories of the committee members Richard Bramhall and Chris Busby, who examined cancer clusters and concluded that radiation from Sellafield and other nuclear plants could be responsible."

Far from it - these theories receive substantial attention in the CERRIE report. From p. 25:

The two Committee members who had been involved in formulating the alternative methodology given in the 2003 Recommendations of the European Committee on Radiation Risk (ECRR, 2003) outlined their approach. The intention was to remedy perceived deficiencies in the ICRP methodology in a simple and pragmatic manner by introducing additional weighting factors, w_J as a biophysical hazard factor, and w_K as an isotope biochemical hazard factor. An example given in the ECRR report is that 90-Sr binds to chromosomes and also has sequential beta emissions, from 90Sr and subsequent decay of 90Y (see Chapter 3), attracting a w_J of 10 and w_K of 30, a total enhancement of 300. However, other members pointed to a lack of evidence for risks from 90Sr that were orders of magnitude greater than expected. They also noted that w_J and w_K values given in the ECRR report (ECRR, 2003) for a range of radionuclides were not accompanied by any evidence or references. The majority of members were not persuaded of the scientific merit or validity of the ECRR (2003) approach on this matter.

Pages 50-58 are a discussion of Busby's "Second Event Theory," and there are many discussions of the epidemiological findings Busby points out.

The problem is that whether I or anyone else think it's OK to irradiate children and their families with anything that will cause leukemia or other cancers. It's that the evidence that this is happening is poor. Evidently representatives from such pro-nuke groups as Greenpeace and Friends of the Earth are either unpersuaded or "think it's OK" to spew radioactive carcinogens. I'm betting it's the former.

And from what I've seen of Busby's other writing, he does seem to consistently favor sensationlism over facts. For instance, immediately after the war in Iraq Busby asserted that a spike in uranium detected at monitoring stations in a small area of the UK

"... shows that rather than remaining near the target as claimed by the military, depleted uranium weapons contaminate both locals and whole populations hundreds to thousands of miles away...

Busbys report shows that within nine days of the start of the Iraq war on March 19, 2003, higher levels of uranium were picked up on five sites in Berkshire. On two occasions, levels exceeded the threshold at which the Environment Agency must be informed, though within safety limits. The report says weather conditions over the war period showed a consistent flow of air from Iraq northwards.

Trouble is, there's no evidence at all that these monitoring stations detected depleted uranium. After all, those monitoring stations exist because of their proximity to the UK's nuclear weapons complex - isn't it far more plausible that the source was nearby? Especially given that otherwise we are asked to believe that uranium from the war in Iraq floated across Europe and deposited itself in a localized area without elevated levels being observed all across Europe.

His second-event theory is not an absurd theory as far as I can tell (since I'm not a biologist I don't know enough to evaluate some of the cellular biology details) - it simply doesn't happen to correctly explain the data. Cancer clusters are a statistical inevitability - they should be investigated, but with the understanding that for any rare disease pure chance indicates that a certain number of clusters can occur without implying any causation. I think Busby is probably well-meaning, but his public claims too often defy common sense, and he is excessively reluctant to expose his work to the scrutiny of scientists. I've read enough to conclude that while he could be right, his public positions seem driven rather transparently by the policy recommendations he hopes to make (close nuke plants, end use of DU munitions). The sad part is that these may well be the wisest policies even if he is dead wrong; but this sniping from the fringes does more to erode his credibility than anything else.
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  -2 nuke plant events - France and Japan ensho  Dec-02-09 11:10 AM   #0 
  - Once again, the most deadly energy technology in history, in the universe, vomits death  Liberation Angel   Dec-02-09 11:15 AM   #1 
  - Drama much? LOL  anigbrowl   Dec-02-09 11:20 AM   #3 
  - Yeah - if you think mutations and cancer and death are dramatic  Liberation Angel   Dec-02-09 11:24 AM   #4 
     - How many mutations, cancers and deaths have been linked to working at a nuclear power plant?  EOTE   Dec-02-09 11:30 AM   #7 
        - Baloney, nuke workers get ten times the dose of civilians and civilians are getting dosed every day  Liberation Angel   Dec-02-09 11:41 AM   #11 
        - And you still haven't addressed anything I said in my post.  EOTE   Dec-02-09 12:05 PM   #15 
        - Really? These links are not very relevant.  anigbrowl   Dec-02-09 12:55 PM   #17 
        - People can read the links and judge for themselves and mammograms can cause cancer  Liberation Angel   Dec-02-09 03:50 PM   #22 
           - As usual, you divorce the facts from the context  anigbrowl   Dec-02-09 05:25 PM   #31 
              - No, I don't. EVERY exposure creates additional risk of harm  Liberation Angel   Dec-02-09 07:29 PM   #35 
                 - Really?  Confusious   Dec-02-09 07:57 PM   #39 
                 - Yes Really! Cancer grows slowly so people don't "keel over dead" for a while...  Liberation Angel   Dec-02-09 09:33 PM   #44 
                    - Well, from the way you make it sound  Confusious   Dec-03-09 02:49 AM   #49 
                       - here is one study showing more than 60 Million cancer deaths from nuclear ...  Liberation Angel   Dec-03-09 11:56 AM   #63 
                          - So because there is nuclear radiation in the environment...  trotsky   Dec-03-09 12:25 PM   #69 
                          - That is what the studies prove: that nuclear power plant radiation causes cancer  Liberation Angel   Dec-03-09 06:02 PM   #83 
                             - You did not answer my question.  trotsky   Dec-03-09 06:20 PM   #86 
                                - yeah i did  Liberation Angel   Dec-03-09 06:49 PM   #87 
                          - no...that study references a MODEL...  ProdigalJunkMail   Dec-05-09 06:04 AM   #111 
                 - true - every exposure is added to the total  ensho   Dec-03-09 10:34 AM   #56 
        - For example, Dr. David Banner: physician; scientist.  AngryAmish   Dec-05-09 06:08 AM   #112 
           - And don't forget Peter Parker...  SidDithers   Dec-05-09 09:38 AM   #116 
        - well...if you count the movies(as some people probably do), then LOTS.  dysfunctional press   Dec-03-09 12:15 PM   #67 
  - "If"?! Don't you mean "When"?  closeupready   Dec-02-09 04:21 PM   #27 
  - It multiplies the sun many times?  HiFructosePronSyrup   Dec-02-09 06:35 PM   #34 
     - Science is hard. n/t  trotsky   Dec-03-09 11:44 AM   #61 
     - It (man made nuclear radiation) is a multiple of the amount of radiation you get from the sun  Liberation Angel   Dec-03-09 12:18 PM   #68 
        - So if I go stand next to a nuclear reactor...  HiFructosePronSyrup   Dec-03-09 12:34 PM   #72 
           - It depends on how close you are to the radiation spewing from it...  Liberation Angel   Dec-03-09 06:05 PM   #84 
              - Wait, so you honestly believe that a properly functioning nuclear plant...  trotsky   Dec-04-09 09:14 AM   #101 
                 - Yes ALL commercial reactors have radiation emissions and effluents  Liberation Angel   Dec-04-09 02:28 PM   #103 
                    - LMAO  trotsky   Dec-04-09 04:04 PM   #108 
  - Unrec...  SidDithers   Dec-02-09 11:17 AM   #2 
  - Yeah, ensho like to post these for some reason. Hardly any of them qualify as a "nuke event"  rd_kent   Dec-03-09 12:12 PM   #66 
  - It's a good thing we have humans around to take care of these problems.  EOTE   Dec-02-09 11:26 AM   #5 
  - What problems to worry about?  NutmegYankee   Dec-02-09 08:16 PM   #41 
  - Most Gen II & all Gen III plants will shut down on their own.  Statistical   Dec-04-09 01:16 AM   #92 
     - thats not technically correct.  Sirveri   Dec-04-09 04:09 AM   #96 
        - Agreed it is a generalization.  Statistical   Dec-04-09 08:08 AM   #99 
  - Radiation does not work like you seem to think it works n/t  Merchant Marine   Dec-02-09 11:29 AM   #6 
  - really?  ensho   Dec-02-09 11:36 AM   #8 
  - this was in reply to post #6  ensho   Dec-02-09 11:37 AM   #9 
  - Not a single word in this thread...  hayu_lol   Dec-02-09 11:41 AM   #10 
     - I post all the time about toxic coal plants. this thread is about nuke  ensho   Dec-02-09 11:45 AM   #12 
     - Really? I can't ever remember reading one of your posts about a Coal Plant Event...nt  SidDithers   Dec-02-09 01:00 PM   #19 
        - And every day there are thousands of new "Solar Power Events" that she never points out.  EOTE   Dec-02-09 01:10 PM   #20 
           - Exactly...  SidDithers   Dec-02-09 01:19 PM   #21 
     - again, baloney. BOTH nukes and coal plants spew toxic death  Liberation Angel   Dec-02-09 11:50 AM   #13 
        - Hyperbole  Confusious   Dec-02-09 03:58 PM   #23 
           - Hyperbole my ass/ Strontium 90 and radioiodine are NOT like solar rays  Liberation Angel   Dec-02-09 04:13 PM   #24 
              - You don't know how a nuclear plant works do you  Confusious   Dec-02-09 07:43 PM   #37 
              - And the vast, vast majority of Sr90 contamination today...  SidDithers   Dec-03-09 09:40 AM   #54 
                 - You have a source for that and...  Liberation Angel   Dec-03-09 03:55 PM   #80 
                    - NRC Data Sheet on the Tooth Fairy Project  SidDithers   Dec-03-09 07:58 PM   #89 
                       - lies and damn lies---more industry propaganda  Liberation Angel   Dec-04-09 12:59 AM   #91 
                          - I look forward to more of your delusional ramblings..nt  SidDithers   Dec-04-09 07:49 AM   #98 
                          - Of course it can't be nuclear weapons because that wouldn't support your agenda.  Statistical   Dec-04-09 08:20 AM   #100 
                             - If you don't provide a link it is harder to debunk your nifty graph chart  Liberation Angel   Dec-04-09 02:41 PM   #104 
              - I happen to work for French company  MyNameGoesHere   Dec-04-09 03:03 PM   #107 
                 - Then you must have seen this report on the failure of French nukes  Liberation Angel   Dec-06-09 01:18 AM   #122 
  - Next time skip the half reliable source  whistler162   Dec-02-09 11:53 AM   #14 
  - You know, the link is to a GREAT source for alerting about events which MAY be serious  Liberation Angel   Dec-02-09 04:19 PM   #26 
     - Serious being the key word...nt  SidDithers   Dec-02-09 05:08 PM   #29 
  - Sounds to me like proper proceedure, training and respose makes these plant quite safe...  OneTenthofOnePercent   Dec-02-09 12:26 PM   #16 
  - Yeah, imagine that. The safeguards in place prevented something from going wrong.  EOTE   Dec-02-09 12:57 PM   #18 
     - Something DID go wrong and the workers who get sick from the exposure  Liberation Angel   Dec-02-09 04:16 PM   #25 
        - You still haven't answered my original question.  EOTE   Dec-02-09 04:36 PM   #28 
        - The European Study on Radiation Risk conclusions (link)  Liberation Angel   Dec-02-09 06:33 PM   #32 
           - 10 million, 10 billion and you cant produce one death certificate  Pavulon   Dec-02-09 07:42 PM   #36 
           - That is bullshit too  Liberation Angel   Dec-02-09 09:53 PM   #48 
              - Yeppers, One name is what you owe.  Pavulon   Dec-03-09 08:19 PM   #90 
           - Be nice if you read it  Confusious   Dec-02-09 08:10 PM   #40 
              - I read it - it is from ALL sources: nuke tests AND power plants  Liberation Angel   Dec-02-09 09:51 PM   #47 
                 - I read it again  Confusious   Dec-03-09 02:59 AM   #50 
        - I live right near a nuclear power plant.  NutmegYankee   Dec-02-09 08:33 PM   #43 
           - You will regret it  Liberation Angel   Dec-02-09 09:46 PM   #46 
              - One example is hardly a scientific study  Confusious   Dec-03-09 03:11 AM   #52 
              - Here's a study your search missed: try a better search  Liberation Angel   Dec-03-09 12:43 PM   #74 
                 - Well, there where other plants where  Confusious   Dec-05-09 03:09 AM   #110 
                    -'re making valid points  ProdigalJunkMail   Dec-05-09 06:23 AM   #113 
                    - Many infant death rates  Liberation Angel   Dec-06-09 01:25 AM   #123 
                       - As I said before,  Confusious   Dec-06-09 03:03 PM   #129 
              - The rates were high back in the 90s. In the last decade, it dropped.  NutmegYankee   Dec-03-09 04:53 PM   #82 
  - Unrec.  ThomWV   Dec-02-09 05:18 PM   #30 
  - Instantly.  Occulus   Dec-04-09 03:21 AM   #94 
  - The study anyone who is not sure (or who is sure it is safe) should read on nuclear power  Liberation Angel   Dec-02-09 06:34 PM   #33 
  - Radiation leak in Japan means only ONE thing..........  thelordofhell   Dec-02-09 07:56 PM   #38 
  - OMG!! COME QUICKLY!! WOLVES ARE EATING MY SHEEP!!  NutmegYankee   Dec-02-09 08:29 PM   #42 
  - Strontium 90 causes bone cancer. tissue cancer and leukemia  Liberation Angel   Dec-02-09 09:38 PM   #45 
        - It is killing us slowly so ...  Liberation Angel   Dec-03-09 06:08 PM   #85 
           - You never fail to make me laugh.  proteus_lives   Dec-03-09 07:07 PM   #88 
  - Breaking: Death count (employees + civilians) just announced.  Nihil   Dec-03-09 09:32 AM   #53 
  - Well said...nt  SidDithers   Dec-03-09 09:46 AM   #55 
  - Nope: see this: Cancer, miscarriages, hypothyroidism, mongoloidism, leukemia, birth defects  Liberation Angel   Dec-03-09 11:41 AM   #59 
     - Really? Was that "MILLIONS" in Cruas (France) or "MILLIONS" in Hamaoka (Japan)?  Nihil   Dec-03-09 11:54 AM   #62 
        - Millions of cancer deaths from radioactive waste/emissions  Liberation Angel   Dec-03-09 03:58 PM   #81 
           - you keep referencing a study that references a MODEL  ProdigalJunkMail   Dec-05-09 06:25 AM   #114 
  - K&R. Because too many want to pretend nukes are safe. //nt  Overseas   Dec-03-09 10:36 AM   #57 
  - Thanks - I posted the European Study so that folks can inform themselves  Liberation Angel   Dec-03-09 11:42 AM   #60 
     - And look at the success of Nuclear Industry PR  Overseas   Dec-04-09 10:14 AM   #102 
  - Once again: European Study conclusions on nuclear deaths/cancers infant mortality/miscarriages  Liberation Angel   Dec-03-09 11:30 AM   #58 
  - Please, by all means, compare your nuke data with that...  hayu_lol   Dec-03-09 12:04 PM   #65 
     - I am not comparing nukes to coal plants, BUT...  Liberation Angel   Dec-03-09 12:27 PM   #70 
  - Thanks, ensho, more "NUKE EVENTS" that are much ado about nothing.  rd_kent   Dec-03-09 11:58 AM   #64 
  - Fun to watch workers exposed to deadly radiation?  Liberation Angel   Dec-03-09 12:30 PM   #71 
     - Your response is evidence that you DID NOT READ THE LINKS.....  rd_kent   Dec-03-09 12:40 PM   #73 
        - They received what amounts to an ANNUAL dose of radiation from the nuke plant  Liberation Angel   Dec-03-09 02:02 PM   #77 
           - liquid radiation? solid radiation? really. In what fantasyland physics book did you learn that.  Statistical   Dec-04-09 01:26 AM   #93 
           - Shit like that is why Liberation Angel is NEVER to be taken seriously  Occulus   Dec-04-09 03:44 AM   #95 
           - You know  Liberation Angel   Dec-04-09 02:49 PM   #106 
           - The radiation is IN the liquid and solid nuclear emissions and effluents from nuclear power plants  Liberation Angel   Dec-04-09 02:47 PM   #105 
              - No, you just put it  Confusious   Dec-05-09 07:27 PM   #120 
           - You didn't read in enough detail  Confusious   Dec-05-09 07:24 PM   #119 
              - Radiation is IN the liquid effluents and waste water from nuke plants  Liberation Angel   Dec-06-09 06:26 PM   #131 
  - Wow.  caraher   Dec-03-09 01:52 PM   #75 
  - Excellent post...  SidDithers   Dec-03-09 01:59 PM   #76 
  - Oh please  Liberation Angel   Dec-03-09 03:21 PM   #79 
     - oh, but the study you reference only has the PUREST of intent  ProdigalJunkMail   Dec-05-09 06:27 AM   #115 
  - You cite CERRIE which, according to this report, are industry hacks  Liberation Angel   Dec-03-09 03:19 PM   #78 
     - Bear in mind that you just called Chris Busby an ex-"industry hack"  caraher   Dec-04-09 06:55 AM   #97 
        - I did not, there are dissenters in Cerrie as there have been in the NRC  Liberation Angel   Dec-05-09 12:08 AM   #109 
           - Did I not just see a subject line like this:  caraher   Dec-05-09 12:56 PM   #117 
              - Kick for another excellent post in this thread...nt  SidDithers   Dec-05-09 01:12 PM   #118 
              - Well, it seems like you have a horse in this race...promoting nukes and disparaging critics  Liberation Angel   Dec-06-09 01:08 AM   #121 
                 - Before you brought all this up I'd never heard of ECRR, Busby, CERRIE, etc.  caraher   Dec-06-09 09:14 AM   #124 
                    - Okay, but using as justification the one clear nuclear hack as reliable is disingenuous  Liberation Angel   Dec-06-09 10:54 AM   #125 
                       - And the reason the Greenpeace and Friends of the Earth folks went along was?  caraher   Dec-06-09 02:32 PM   #128 
                          - The ENTIRE committee was threatened with Defamation Lawsuits if they didn't go along  Liberation Angel   Dec-06-09 06:22 PM   #130 
  - Government gags experts over nuclear plant risks (Re: Cerrie report)  Liberation Angel   Dec-06-09 11:13 AM   #126 
     - Guardian article: (Former Environmental Minister) Meacham Rails at "Biased" Cancer report  Liberation Angel   Dec-06-09 11:22 AM   #127 

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