starroute
(1000+ posts)
|
Sat May-30-09 05:40 PM
Response to Original message |
| 48. This seems largely ass-backwards to me |
 |
For example, suggesting that there are too many people on the planet because there aren't enough jobs for all of them seems to mean that "jobs" are the real inhabitants of Earth and "people" exist to serve them.
But it really starts with people. It always has.
The first question has to do with the carrying capacity of the Earth -- how many people can it feed and clothe without being degraded. You start from there.
The second question is how many of those people it takes to provide for all the rest. In hunter-gatherer times, everybody had to be out there hunting and gathering. Agriculture mean that 95% worked their asses off to support a small leisure and creative class. Now it takes only 5% to raise food for everyone else -- and pretty soon the rest of the maintenance chores aren't going to demand much more.
But that doesn't mean you need to beat the population down to 300 million -- all of whom will somehow find work producing the food, clothing, and housing that would be need by six billion. It means that you have to radically rethink the nature of human life.
There are a lot of delicate philosophic issues there -- but the most immediate question is a practical one. We've used "jobs" as a rough and ready distribution mechanism for getting food and shelter and such from the people who produce them to the people who consume them. You work, you earn money, you buy stuff, that gives work to other people, and so on.
This is a pretty crude system -- which is why it creates endlessly unsolvable problems with unemployment, welfare, and so forth. But we've not only accepted it as being the system we're stuck with for the moment but have tended to exalt it as both inevitable and morally freighted. If you don't work, you're a bad person -- and even such traditional demands as charity to the poor come to be looked on with suspicion.
That's what we've got to get out from under -- but it isn't going to be easy. Marx's simple dictum of "from each according to his ability, to each according to his needs" has been demonized as it is -- but we're not only going to have to go with that, but with a hyper-version of it.
At the same time, we're going to have to recognize that the "from each" part doesn't just mean sweat-of-the-brow stuff. It also means everything from folk crafts to emotional support to loving parenting in a world where greater longevity plus population controls may mean a lot more "parents" dedicated to nurturing other people's children.
In short, it will be something we can't even imagine at this point -- but despite that, we've got to get from here to there, and do it virtually overnight.
Looks like fun.
|
Robert Reich-- "Manufacturing Jobs are Over"...Robots are In/Knowledge Based is King....Kool Aid |
KoKo |
May-30-09 02:29 PM |
#0 |

Next Big Thing--Robot Repair. nt |
MADem |
May-30-09 02:32 PM |
#1 |
 
Yup, not to mention robot manufacturing! n/t |
ColbertWatcher |
May-30-09 04:56 PM |
#45 |

That would be done by robots as well. nt |
anonymous171 |
May-30-09 05:06 PM |
#47 |

Noooo!1!!! n/t |
ColbertWatcher |
May-30-09 09:13 PM |
#77 |

Actually the self replicating machine is coming and it will do for physical objects... |
ContinentalOp |
May-31-09 12:17 AM |
#85 |

So basically we should mooch off 3rd world workers while we replace our own with robots? |
anonymous171 |
May-30-09 02:35 PM |
#2 |
 
With out the free flow of labor, of people, yes it is. |
John Q. Citizen |
May-30-09 02:54 PM |
#7 |

Which means that there are too few jobs and too many people. |
tabatha |
May-30-09 02:38 PM |
#3 |
 
That's true. Ideally, the increase of machine work should mean that humans are freed up to |
John Q. Citizen |
May-30-09 02:56 PM |
#8 |
  
Life is what people make of it. |
Deja Q |
May-30-09 03:25 PM |
#15 |
  
I don't know how old u r, John, but in the 60s it was put forward that this was |
Nay |
May-30-09 03:27 PM |
#16 |
   
In the 1960s, Robert Justman wasn't admitting he produced Star Trek because he wanted to make money |
Deja Q |
May-30-09 03:30 PM |
#19 |
   
Atomic energy; To cheap to meter! |
John Q. Citizen |
May-30-09 03:40 PM |
# |
   
I know I'm going to get flamed for saying this |
AllentownJake |
May-30-09 03:51 PM |
#30 |
    
wrong. 1980 election: carter & anderson were the liberal choices. |
Hannah Bell |
May-30-09 11:53 PM |
#83 |
   
Guess I never considered Anderson |
AllentownJake |
May-31-09 08:40 AM |
#93 |
   
1984 boomers went for reagan, but less % than their elders or youngers. |
Hannah Bell |
May-31-09 10:40 AM |
#95 |
   
yes in the sixties we were told that we would be |
truedelphi |
May-30-09 03:51 PM |
#32 |
   
This robot thing may actually be the downfall of Capitalism. |
anonymous171 |
May-30-09 03:57 PM |
#34 |
   
It was suppose to be... |
krispos42 |
May-30-09 04:34 PM |
#39 |
    
Well, as you can see, since 1979 (gee, who was president after that year . . .), THAT didn't happen: |
HughBeaumont |
May-30-09 07:36 PM |
#61 |
   
What they want... |
krispos42 |
May-30-09 07:41 PM |
#63 |
   
Remember Magnus: Robot Fighter? Everyone had loads of free time to kill. Oh, well it was a dream. nt |
cabluedem |
May-31-09 12:39 PM |
#99 |
  
I must have missed that. I don't know what you are referring to. But i love free time. |
John Q. Citizen |
May-31-09 02:06 PM |
#115 |
  
Magnus: Comic Book Hero in a future Earth where humans let humaniod robots do all the work. nt |
cabluedem |
Jun-01-09 12:57 AM |
#129 |
  
The upside is - once we are dead, we are no longer harming the environment! |
truedelphi |
May-30-09 03:40 PM |
#26 |
   
I always wanted my body fed to great white sharks and be put back into the food chain. |
John Q. Citizen |
May-30-09 03:42 PM |
#27 |
   
When the food and oil runs out we will all be Green. |
cabluedem |
May-31-09 01:01 PM |
#103 |
  
Perhaps as in |
truedelphi |
May-31-09 02:42 PM |
#118 |
  
Exactly. Science fiction does come true too often. nt |
cabluedem |
May-31-09 03:06 PM |
#120 |
  
Or work themselves to death working a low income job. I am 68 years |
jwirr |
May-31-09 11:07 AM |
#96 |
 
Zero Population Growth. Its coming to the US very soon. nt |
cabluedem |
May-31-09 12:32 PM |
#98 |

What trend do you have to back up this claim? |
PM Martin |
May-31-09 01:35 PM |
#111 |
 
It will no longer be possible to afford lots of children. Think China' One Child law. nt |
cabluedem |
May-31-09 03:16 PM |
#123 |

We're already there- it's just masked because we are importing young people . |
hedgehog |
May-31-09 01:52 PM |
#113 |

Just bring on the Cylons and be done with it |
AllentownJake |
May-30-09 02:43 PM |
#4 |
 
Stop watching that drivel. |
Deja Q |
May-30-09 03:31 PM |
#20 |

I really don't have a choice now do I? |
AllentownJake |
May-30-09 03:37 PM |
#23 |
 
I can has Chief with beard? |
MichellesBFF |
May-30-09 04:47 PM |
#44 |

Quit censoring what people can watch. How would you know what it is unless you watch that |
John Q. Citizen |
May-30-09 03:37 PM |
#24 |

Saying "stop watching that drivel" is hardly censorship (nt) |
Posteritatis |
May-31-09 02:11 PM |
#117 |

A domestic robot jockey is still preferable to an outsourced one. |
PSPS |
May-30-09 02:43 PM |
#5 |
 
All productivity gains have gone to the top 1% |
AllentownJake |
May-30-09 02:44 PM |
#6 |

Commenter over at TPM replies to Reich: "What a Crock of Shit!" (good read) |
KoKo |
May-30-09 04:46 PM |
#43 |

It's shown him in a new light to me. I obviously knew much less than |
Joe Chi Minh |
May-30-09 06:32 PM |
#54 |
 
I was shocked reading his OP over at TPM....I'm still hoping |
KoKo |
May-30-09 06:52 PM |
#56 |

Perhaps what enrages me more than anything else, is the godless way they |
Joe Chi Minh |
May-30-09 07:22 PM |
#59 |

Thanks...yes..and what I see is the "Entitled way they Sprang." |
KoKo |
May-30-09 08:22 PM |
#70 |

Excellent response! |
leftstreet |
May-31-09 01:22 AM |
#91 |

Still think new products for greening, mass transit, etc. improves our share, but assembly jobs do |
MarjorieG |
May-30-09 03:07 PM |
#9 |
 
Products for greening and mass transit will be made in factories. |
amandabeech |
May-31-09 03:10 PM |
#121 |

Those without jobs aren't needed & have no right to existence. |
Hannah Bell |
May-30-09 03:11 PM |
#10 |

The bulk of humanity are not super-intelligent data manipulators and analyzers |
Zodiak |
May-30-09 03:23 PM |
#11 |
 
Near the end there he suggests as much. |
Marr |
May-30-09 03:32 PM |
#21 |
  
It's a good point, and I support that of course. But that is about it. |
Zodiak |
May-30-09 04:43 PM |
#42 |
  
I understood what he said...but the way he said it also deserves questioning as to where |
KoKo |
May-30-09 08:31 PM |
#72 |
 
Very true |
AllentownJake |
May-30-09 03:48 PM |
#29 |

OFGS! You post some IQ test to VERIFY Reich's Comments? |
KoKo |
May-30-09 08:32 PM |
#73 |

What |
AllentownJake |
May-30-09 09:36 PM |
#78 |

We must be talking at cross purposes to each other.... |
KoKo |
May-30-09 10:54 PM |
#79 |

Efficient? If only they were more capable of putting out solid, non-toxic goods... |
Deja Q |
May-30-09 03:24 PM |
#12 |

5 |
omega minimo |
May-30-09 03:24 PM |
#13 |

I, for one, welcome our new robot overlords... n/t |
cherokeeprogressive |
May-30-09 03:25 PM |
#14 |
 
bite my shiny metal ass |
Deja Q |
May-30-09 03:28 PM |
#17 |
  
Okay... but you may not remember it! |
cherokeeprogressive |
May-30-09 03:45 PM |
#28 |
 
You Lie your ASS OFF...trying to be so snarky...shivering in your shoes... |
KoKo |
May-30-09 09:08 PM |
#75 |

Very interesting article. To be perfectly frank, |
Marr |
May-30-09 03:28 PM |
#18 |
 
What about promoting effective birth control? |
PM Martin |
May-30-09 03:34 PM |
#22 |
  
Every sperm is sacred |
AllentownJake |
May-30-09 03:40 PM |
#25 |
   
snark...snark...snark...it's become the Soup du Jour on DU...Pardon my bastard French...n/t |
KoKo |
May-30-09 09:09 PM |
#76 |
  
Overpopulation is a right wing myth -nt- |
ContinentalOp |
May-31-09 12:25 AM |
#86 |
   
Overpopulation is a reality, not a myth. nt |
cabluedem |
May-31-09 12:58 PM |
#102 |
  
Environmental problems and famine problems are issues of overconsumption... |
ContinentalOp |
May-31-09 01:41 PM |
#112 |
  
It has been stated that if everyone on the world is to |
tabatha |
May-31-09 02:57 PM |
#119 |
   
Well said. Too bad humans will keep overbreeding regardless. nt |
cabluedem |
May-31-09 03:54 PM |
#125 |
  
Cheap oil allowed the human race to overbreed during the 20th century. When its no longer cheap, ... |
cabluedem |
May-31-09 03:46 PM |
#124 |
  
Remember: Soylent Green is People! nt |
cabluedem |
May-31-09 12:55 PM |
#101 |
 
It's still globalism propaganda even if Reich wrote it. |
amandabeech |
May-31-09 03:15 PM |
#122 |

Yes -- Robert Reich Has Drunk the Globalist Kool-Aid |
On the Road |
May-30-09 03:51 PM |
#31 |
 
More like realized reality for what it is |
Taverner |
May-30-09 03:57 PM |
#33 |
  
What? Reaganites and free traders are the ones responsible for the demise of American manufacturing |
anonymous171 |
May-30-09 04:14 PM |
#37 |
   
No but the opposite argument |
Taverner |
May-30-09 07:18 PM |
#58 |
  
Ah I see. |
anonymous171 |
May-30-09 07:52 PM |
#66 |
  
why is it we can't have job security? who made this rule? |
Hannah Bell |
May-31-09 12:03 AM |
#84 |
  
You better hope that's not true because when we completely stop making things |
Raineyb |
May-30-09 06:27 PM |
#52 |
   
You don't understand - automation is on its way to replacing ALL manufacturing |
Taverner |
May-30-09 07:15 PM |
#57 |
  
Don't you feel that's an "Overstatement?" Robert Reich propably visited ONE Factory... |
KoKo |
May-30-09 10:56 PM |
#80 |
   
Robotics and machines are being adopted more and more |
Taverner |
May-31-09 12:43 PM |
#100 |
  
True...but there are still areas where "hands on" could provide jobs... |
KoKo |
May-31-09 07:01 PM |
#126 |
  
I think that may be true in the short run but what bothers me about |
jwirr |
May-31-09 11:41 AM |
#97 |
  
Too many people, too few jobs=Bleak future. nt |
cabluedem |
May-31-09 01:07 PM |
#106 |
 
Technology does bring greater efficency |
PM Martin |
May-30-09 03:57 PM |
#35 |

I got me a robot vacuum cleaner, but, honestly, I did not fire my maid..on the other hand |
angstlessk |
May-30-09 04:09 PM |
#36 |

Yeah, but. . . |
matt819 |
May-30-09 04:22 PM |
#38 |

Unfotunately the service jobs that have replaced manufacturing pay shit wages. |
alarimer |
May-30-09 04:39 PM |
#40 |
 
They are also harder to unionize. nt |
anonymous171 |
May-30-09 04:40 PM |
#41 |

I worked in manufacturing in the 1980s. |
azmouse |
May-30-09 05:03 PM |
#46 |

This seems largely ass-backwards to me |
starroute |
May-30-09 05:40 PM |
#48 |
 
We need to move beyond our obsession with work. |
ContinentalOp |
May-31-09 12:30 AM |
#87 |

I dont agree. Meaningful work is not "wasted time" in my book. Many |
cabluedem |
May-31-09 01:25 PM |
#109 |

We need to eliminate Wage Slavery, not work. nt |
anonymous171 |
May-31-09 02:09 PM |
#116 |

The "Midas Plague" economy? ;^) |
eppur_se_muova |
May-30-09 05:50 PM |
#49 |
 
By Fred Pohl, of course -- give credit where credit is due |
starroute |
Jun-01-09 12:28 AM |
#128 |

Is Robert the fourth? |
deaniac21 |
May-30-09 06:01 PM |
#50 |

Small problem, Bob (oops sorry) There are 300 MILLION Americans |
kenny blankenship |
May-30-09 06:16 PM |
#51 |
 
I am pretty sure he gets it..... |
galileoreloaded |
May-30-09 07:39 PM |
#62 |

No he doesn't. |
anonymous171 |
May-30-09 08:10 PM |
#69 |

Well, you better figure out how we all are going to make a living then, Bob. |
bemildred |
May-30-09 06:32 PM |
#53 |
 
The very concept of "earning a living" is disgusting. |
ContinentalOp |
May-31-09 12:32 AM |
#88 |
  
Yeah lets just stay home and breed more people into an overcrowded world. nt |
cabluedem |
May-31-09 01:13 PM |
#107 |
 
The world isn't overcrowded. |
ContinentalOp |
May-31-09 01:27 PM |
#110 |
 
Don't worry, the 3rd world scum will make our food for us. |
anonymous171 |
May-31-09 12:38 AM |
#90 |

so metropolis! |
Mari333 |
May-30-09 06:33 PM |
#55 |
 
Worship the machine! |
anonymous171 |
May-30-09 08:41 PM |
#74 |

I'm usually a fan of Reich, but what he doesn't seem to comprehend here.. |
girl gone mad |
May-30-09 07:30 PM |
#60 |
 
This wasn't the Robert Reich that many of us counted on...I understand what you say |
KoKo |
May-30-09 08:09 PM |
#68 |

This is not new. I have been predicting this for decades. |
immoderate |
May-30-09 07:41 PM |
#64 |
 
We go back to some Agrarian Ways for many who have the inclination and |
KoKo |
May-30-09 10:58 PM |
#81 |
  
Regressing into the past is exactly the wrong way to go. -nt- |
ContinentalOp |
May-31-09 12:34 AM |
#89 |
 
Crime will increase as people get desparate with nothing to lose. Very bad, this is. nt |
cabluedem |
May-31-09 01:18 PM |
#108 |

Well, they are |
Taverner |
May-30-09 07:43 PM |
#65 |

and this is why education is so important! |
shireen |
May-30-09 07:55 PM |
#67 |
 
Agree..but we have to "Turn Over" the "Legacy Students" to get to the rest of |
KoKo |
May-30-09 08:24 PM |
#71 |

And the reason the service jobs suck is because... |
krispos42 |
May-30-09 11:17 PM |
#82 |
 
Work/Labor/Salary will have to be redefined in some way by the end of the century |
JCMach1 |
May-31-09 01:27 AM |
#92 |

"You're on the wrong side of history." |
The2ndWheel |
May-31-09 09:12 AM |
#94 |

I am a moldmaker, process engineer, automation engineer, product designer |
Gman2 |
May-31-09 01:02 PM |
#104 |

Robots don't buy cars. |
Octafish |
May-31-09 01:03 PM |
#105 |
 
That's the Damned Truth...although we now have "Zombie Banks" ruling things... |
KoKo |
May-31-09 07:02 PM |
#127 |

See this: |
PM Martin |
May-31-09 01:53 PM |
#114 |