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Reply #12: If you want to really get wonky [View All]

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pokerfan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-24-08 03:56 PM
Response to Reply #4
12. If you want to really get wonky
Edited on Fri Oct-24-08 04:01 PM by pokerfan
Nate Silver is a total data geek, but he knows how to apply it to interesting topics. He proved that with Baseball Prospectus, which projects performance by players and teams, and he's striking out to do the same for election results. Silver's FiveThirtyEight grabs all the polls it can find, weighs them based on methodologies and past accuracy, projects data for regions where it can't find polls, then runs thousands of simulated elections to come up with a likely outcome. Silver's site currently has Obama walking away with it; if nothing else, it'll be interesting to see, come Election Day, how database projections fared with real people.

(Lifehacker Top Ten Web-tools for Election Season)

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  -LOOK AT THIS MAP! lynyrd_skynyrd  Oct-24-08 03:30 PM   #0 
  - Very pretty!  polichick   Oct-24-08 03:32 PM   #1 
  - I have a real problem with this map. seriously  antifaschits   Oct-24-08 03:32 PM   #2 
  - this is excellent info - Question please  covadcalifornia   Oct-24-08 03:37 PM   #4 
     - Here's some  alfredo   Oct-24-08 03:50 PM   #11 
     - If you want to really get wonky  pokerfan   Oct-24-08 03:56 PM   #12 
     - first, get an iPhone. then  antifaschits   Oct-24-08 04:09 PM   #15 
     - Here  WilliamPitt   Oct-24-08 05:45 PM   #21 
  - They have several "leaning to Obama" or "Toss-up" that other maps are giving to Obama,  BrklynLiberal   Oct-24-08 03:37 PM   #3 
  - Yep. Obama has a 19 point lead in Minnesota.  Stellabella   Oct-24-08 03:46 PM   #8 
  - I'm not buying it  Tangerine LaBamba   Oct-24-08 03:38 PM   #5 
  - Obama is up double digits in PA according to most polls.  EOTE   Oct-24-08 03:43 PM   #7 
  - I was born and raised there  Tangerine LaBamba   Oct-24-08 04:21 PM   #17 
     - PA didn't reject Lynn Swann because of his race  StopThePendulum   Oct-24-08 06:11 PM   #28 
     - Who ever said racism was rational?  Tangerine LaBamba   Oct-24-08 06:15 PM   #31 
     - I am from Virginia.....  trayfoot   Oct-24-08 08:33 PM   #38 
     - Virginia's a fooler  Tangerine LaBamba   Oct-24-08 08:47 PM   #41 
     - I was born and raised in PA also. Your analysis is incorrect. Lynn Swann is no more representative  yellowcanine   Oct-24-08 08:48 PM   #42 
        - I'm a bigot, that's right  Tangerine LaBamba   Oct-25-08 01:39 PM   #45 
  - Well, you are just pulling stuff out of your butt. PA has gone Democratic in the last four elections  Zynx   Oct-24-08 03:57 PM   #13 
  - Why the vulgarity?  Tangerine LaBamba   Oct-24-08 04:24 PM   #18 
     - How about because Lynn Swann was a bad candidate?  ProudToBeBlueInRhody   Oct-24-08 06:02 PM   #24 
     - You from PA?  Tangerine LaBamba   Oct-24-08 06:10 PM   #27 
        - So Lynn Swann was a good candidate?  ProudToBeBlueInRhody   Oct-24-08 08:12 PM   #35 
           - You realize, don't you,  Tangerine LaBamba   Oct-24-08 08:19 PM   #36 
              - Show me where I'm wrong then.......  ProudToBeBlueInRhody   Oct-24-08 08:34 PM   #40 
                 - You need too much educating,  Tangerine LaBamba   Oct-24-08 08:49 PM   #43 
                    - Got it.  ProudToBeBlueInRhody   Oct-24-08 08:51 PM   #44 
     - Illinois has plenty of racism too.  Zynx   Oct-24-08 08:11 PM   #34 
  - Unless Pennsylvania has been rigged....and it might be.....  ProudToBeBlueInRhody   Oct-24-08 05:59 PM   #23 
     - It would be nice to think so,  Tangerine LaBamba   Oct-24-08 06:12 PM   #29 
     - If Pennsylvania has been rigged, it's in favor of us  StopThePendulum   Oct-24-08 06:14 PM   #30 
  - This map is nice too  StClone   Oct-24-08 03:41 PM   #6 
  - Try some real maps-not affiliated with MSM  dixiegrrrrl   Oct-24-08 03:47 PM   #9 
  - Not blue enough  dkofos   Oct-24-08 03:48 PM   #10 
  - How to work it out to a McCain victory?  gratuitous   Oct-24-08 04:02 PM   #14 
  - What fun!  dhpgetsit   Oct-24-08 04:21 PM   #16 
  - I predict that it will be a landslide for Obama. Don't burst my bubble please  WillieW   Oct-24-08 04:25 PM   #19 
     - We're all holding our breath.  dhpgetsit   Oct-24-08 05:43 PM   #20 
  - I look at it every morning  lynettebro440   Oct-24-08 05:45 PM   #22 
  - from  teamster633   Oct-24-08 06:02 PM   #25 
  - If we can just secure Ohio or Florida. Or both just to be sure.  cboy4   Oct-24-08 06:04 PM   #26 
  - I would love to take Georgia, and send Saxby Chambliss packing.....  wizstars   Oct-24-08 08:34 PM   #39 
  - as far as interactive maps I like to play with this one  gypsylud   Oct-24-08 06:18 PM   #32 
  - It's looking like 353-185 Obama to me ... and I want MORE! MORE!  TahitiNut   Oct-24-08 06:20 PM   #33 
  - I't s so over  smurfysmurf   Oct-24-08 08:21 PM   #37 
  - CAN'T MAKE ME!  PermanentRevolution   Oct-25-08 01:51 PM   #46 

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