Reply #11: My first thought when I saw this poll was that they mis-weighted the parties

[progressive_realist]

Turns out that's exactly what they did.

Since the results were so different from the Gallup daily polls, and the same organization is responsible for both, the only plausible explanation was that Gallup changed the methodology or the sample construction for this one. I know that the relative weighting by political party for the daily polls has been carefully constructed to reflect actual demographics, and that this is the trickiest part for getting accurate results. So anytime I see one-off outlier polls like this one, they probably did something really stupid like pretending there are as many Republicans as Democrats in this country.

:eyes: