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Reply #50: Some advice for communicating with boobies... [View All]

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Peace Patriot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 09:25 AM
Response to Reply #18
50. Some advice for communicating with boobies...
...and even with smart people who might be seeing things at 5 a.m. before they've had their second cup of java...

And I sent this to Scoop, too (to alastair@scoop.co.nz )

Subject: URGENT! Need better explanation on exit polls

Re:
Complete US Exit Poll Data Confirms Net Suspicions - Full 51 State Early Exit Poll Data Released For The First Time

http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/stories/HL0411/S00227.htm

1. Urgent! Please include a simple explanation for boobies. Im not a boobie. Im pretty smart--but it took me a half hour to figure out what youre saying--that the graph shows the discrepancy between exit polls and Diebold results in all states. And Im still not 100% sure thats what youre saying. Back up--give a sentence or two to the basic controversy, as it stood at the time of Freemans report.

And you need to explain the word swing. At first brush, your text and graph seemed to merely be saying that Bush won--that votes "swung" toward Bush as the evening went on. Yeah, thats the problem. It's the word "swing." What does swing mean?

(We also use it for swing states and swing public opinion your way--meaning momentum, motion. You mean inexplicable discrepancy in Bushs favor--dont you? Not that votes swung toward Bush, but that the Diebold results inexplicably began to favor Bush, compared to the exit polls which favored Kerry.)

Here's your problematic intro sentence (which is not enough of an intro to the graph): The new data confirms what was already widely known about the swing in favour of George Bush, but amplifies the extent of that swing. (The "swing" of WHAT in favour of Bush?)

This is very, very, very, very, very, very important--so it needs to be clear to people.


2. You wrote: Dr Freeman's academic paper . He concludes that the reasons are unknown.

Why dont you use parts of his actual quote?

Suggested rewrite: He concludes: the election's unexplained exit poll discrepancies make an unavoidable hypothesis, and states that further investigation is warranted.

His full quote:

Systematic fraud or mistabulation is a premature conclusion, but the election's unexplained exit poll discrepancies make it an unavoidable hypothesis, one that is the responsibility of the media, academia, polling agencies, and the public to investigate.
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