Reply #21: ALTHECAT, THIS WAS THE FINAL ELECTION MODEL PROJECTION

[TruthIsAll]

Note: Kerry's 50.52% 2party vote% vs Bush is damn close to the
50.6% he got based on the weighted state exit polls! 

I do not have the time right now to compare state by state to
the  exit polls.

             Kerry%	Gore%            Recent State Polls
St    EV     vs.Bush  vs.Bush                   Kerry% Bush%
AL	9	40.63	42.86	(2.23)		39.0	57.0	(18.0)	
AK	3	34.48	32.18	2.30 		30.0	57.0	(27.0)	
AZ	10	47.37	46.88	0.49 		45.0	50.0	(5.0)	
AR	6	50.00	47.42	2.58 		48.0	48.0	0.0 	6
CA	55	53.85	55.79	(1.94)	55	49.0	42.0	7.0 	55
									
CO	9	49.47	45.16	4.31 		47.0	48.0	(1.0)	
CT	7	55.32	59.57	(4.26)	7	52.0	42.0	10.0 	7
DE	3	54.22	56.70	(2.48)	3	45.0	38.0	7.0 	3
DC	3	87.64	90.43	(2.79)	3	78.0	11.0	67.0 	3
FL	27	51.55	49.95	1.60 		50.0	47.0	3.0 	27
									
GA	15	44.68	43.88	0.80 		42.0	52.0	(10.0)	
HI	4	50.00	60.22	(10.22)	4	45.0	45.0	0.0 	4
ID	4	33.71	29.47	4.23 		30.0	59.0	(29.0)	
IL	21	56.25	56.12	0.13 	21	54.0	42.0	12.0 	21
IN	11	40.21	41.84	(1.63)		39.0	58.0	(19.0)	
									
IA	7	53.19	50.52	2.68 	7	50.0	44.0	6.0 	7
KS	6	38.14	38.95	(0.80)		37.0	60.0	(23.0)	
KY	8	41.05	41.84	(0.78)		39.0	56.0	(17.0)	
LA	9	45.45	45.92	(0.46)		40.0	48.0	(8.0)	
ME	4	56.18	52.69	3.49 	4	50.0	39.0	11.0 	4
									
MD	10	55.67	58.33	(2.66)	10	54.0	43.0	11.0 	10
MA	12	70.33	64.52	5.81 	12	64.0	27.0	37.0 	12
MI	17	53.61	52.58	1.03 	17	52.0	45.0	7.0 	17
MN	10	54.17	51.06	3.10 	10	52.0	44.0	8.0 	10
MS	6	45.16	41.41	3.75 		42.0	51.0	(9.0)	
									
MO	11	47.31	48.45	(1.14)		44.0 	49.0 	(5.0)	
MT	3	38.71	36.26	2.45 		36.0 	57.0 	(21.0)	
NE	5	34.41	34.74	(0.33)		32.0 	61.0 	(29.0)	
NV	5	50.00	47.92	2.08 		49.0 	49.0 	0.0 	5
NH	4	50.00	49.47	0.53 		47.0 	47.0 	0.0 	4
									
NJ	15	54.35	58.33	(3.99)	15	50.0 	42.0 	8.0 	15
NM	5	50.00	50.05	(0.05)	5	49.0 	49.0 	0.0 	5
NY	31	59.38	63.16	(3.78)	31	57.0 	39.0 	18.0 	31
NC	15	48.14	43.43	4.71 		46.7 	50.3 	(3.6)	
ND	3	38.89	35.11	3.78 		35.0 	55.0 	(20.0)	
									
OH	20	51.55	47.92	3.63 		50.0 	47.0 	3.0 	20
OK	7	31.46	38.78	(7.31)		28.0 	61.0 	(33.0)	
OR	7	53.19	50.05	3.14 	7	50.0 	44.0 	6.0 	7
PA	21	52.63	52.58	0.05 	21	50.0 	45.0 	5.0 	21
RI	4	60.87	65.59	(4.72)	4	56.0 	36.0 	20.0 	4
									
SC	8	43.30	41.84	1.46 		42.0 	55.0 	(13.0)	
SD	3	44.68	38.78	5.91 		42.0 	52.0 	(10.0)	
TN	11	48.73	47.96	0.77 		47.8 	50.3 	(2.5)	
TX	34	38.54	39.18	(0.63)		37.0 	59.0 	(22.0)	
UT	5	25.81	27.96	(2.15)		24.0 	69.0 	(45.0)	
									
VT	3	56.99	55.43	1.55 	3	53.0 	40.0 	13.0 	3
VA	13	47.96	45.83	2.13 		47.0 	51.0 	(4.0)	
WA	11	54.17	52.63	1.54 	11	52.0 	44.0 	8.0 	11
WV	5	48.52	46.94	1.58 		45.8 	48.6 	(2.8)	
WI	10	53.68	50.05	3.63 	10	51.0 	44.0 	7.0 	10
WY	3	30.85	29.17	1.68 		29.0 	65.0 	(36.0)	
									
Total	538	50.52	50.27	0.26	260	47.88	46.89	0.99 	322
									

Gore won  21  states with 266 electoral votes            
									
Kerry leads  26  states with 322 electoral votes