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Reply #10: to be honest, pretty useless [View All]

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OnTheOtherHand Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-16-11 04:46 PM
Response to Reply #8
10. to be honest, pretty useless
TIA may believe that Kerry won New York by 31 points because the exit polls said so, but how will he get anyone else to believe it? Where does that go?

There's stuff out there on election verification exit polls. Some good people have contributed time to the approach, but I just don't see how it can work. I don't think there's any method that is guaranteed to work well, and if it did work well, how would you know, and if you knew, how would anyone else?
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  -Charnin: M Crispin Miller & Jonathan Simon respond to NYT Nate Silver re WI, plus Lehto & Mitteldorf tiptoe  Apr-14-11 02:28 PM   #0 
  - Hmmm. I don't know how many posts I read that said, "If it's okay with Nate, it's okay with me"  FiveGoodMen   Apr-14-11 02:32 PM   #1 
  - I'm mainly a DU person---on DU, quite a few. n/t  vaberella   Apr-15-11 06:35 AM   #4 
  - Their minds are made up, so Simon and Miller should not subject them to facts.  joentokyo   Apr-14-11 10:19 PM   #2 
  - 1988-2008 True Vote Model -- state & national  tiptoe   Apr-14-11 10:47 PM   #3 
  - Really good thread. Definitely worthwhile in the GDP section. n/t  vaberella   Apr-15-11 06:36 AM   #5 
  - k&r  avaistheone1   Apr-15-11 02:56 PM   #6 
  - kick  democracy1st   Apr-16-11 05:02 AM   #7 
  - Thank you, Richard Charnin.  emcguffie   Apr-16-11 04:00 PM   #8 
     - An exit poll is as questionable as a computer generated election result.  Wilms   Apr-16-11 04:40 PM   #9 
     - Sorry, I believe exit polls are okay until they change the results.  emcguffie   Apr-21-11 12:11 PM   #11 
        - I "believe" they were correct prior to fudging, too.  Wilms   Apr-21-11 05:38 PM   #14 
           - I am honestly not sure I understand what you are saying.  emcguffie   Apr-22-11 07:42 PM   #15 
              - Hey, I'm not sufficiently informed about the whole exit poll debate.  Wilms   Apr-22-11 08:08 PM   #16 
     - to be honest, pretty useless  OnTheOtherHand   Apr-16-11 04:46 PM   #10 
        - I believe it too.  emcguffie   Apr-21-11 12:19 PM   #12 
           - OK  OnTheOtherHand   Apr-21-11 04:21 PM   #13 

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