You are viewing an obsolete version of the DU website which is no longer supported by the Administrators. Visit The New DU.
Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

Reply #64: defection affects the ratio(s), too [View All]

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform Donate to DU
OnTheOtherHand Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-04-10 08:44 AM
Response to Reply #59
64. defection affects the ratio(s), too
If one plots Coakley's vote share against Obama's, what stands out is that Coakley's typical vote share is relatively close to Obama's in the localities where Obama did best, but substantially less in the localities where Obama did worst. That's true in both hand count and scanner jurisdictions. That probably has less to do with Democrats staying home than with Obama voters defecting to Brown -- not in Democratic strongholds, so much, but in other places.

I really think the turnout issue has been widely overstated; it's part of the picture, but not the only part, and quite possibly not the most important part.
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 

Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC