You are viewing an obsolete version of the DU website which is no longer supported by the Administrators. Visit The New DU.
Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

Reply #14: Your obfuscation won't work. Late votes, exit polls and True votes INDEPENDENTLY expose you. [View All]

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform Donate to DU
WillE Donating Member (150 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-05-09 09:26 AM
Response to Reply #13
14. Your obfuscation won't work. Late votes, exit polls and True votes INDEPENDENTLY expose you.
Edited on Sat Sep-05-09 09:29 AM by WillE
FACTS
1. The late vote closely matched the exit polls.
2. The recorded vote was way off.
3. The fact that the recorded/late vote correlation is high is IRRELEVANT and to be expected.
That's because there is also a correlation between the EXIT POLLS and the RECORDED VOTE.
EVERYONE KNOWS THAT.
AND YOU JUST FOUND THAT OUT?
The exit polls are HIGHER THAN THE RECORDED VOTE for Kerry in virtually EVERY state.

4. The EXIT POLL/LATE VOTE CORRELATION is something that has NEVER been mentioned anywhere else.
The reason why it is RELEVANT is that late votes comprised just 5% of the TOTAL recorded vote. Therefore the late vote/exit poll correlation is SIGNIFICANT since the late votes are a relatively small SUBSET of the TOTAL vote.

Nice try.

As far as your snide comment regarding the True Vote model, you are just frustrated that it CONFIRMED THE EXIT POLLS IN NEW YORK (65-64), PENNSYLVANIA (55-56) AND NATIONAL (53-52).

You never wrote a True Vote Model because you are not interested in the True Vote.

No one is as good as you when it comes to obfuscation and diversion.
You have obfuscated for 4 years because very few are willing (or able) to confront you directly.
They know that you will avoid an honest appraisal of the evidence.
Your arrogance is intimidating to many.
Except for yours truly.

I enjoy making you squirm and go into all sorts of contortions to obfuscate.
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 

Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC