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Reply #109: care to try again in English? [View All]

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OnTheOtherHand Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-29-09 03:21 PM
Response to Reply #107
109. care to try again in English?
Edited on Sat Aug-29-09 03:25 PM by OnTheOtherHand
"They were an average of polls taken from Oct. 25"

Ah.

And your point would be?

Bet you they are all LV polls
Like Zogby's Oct. 31 50-45 on Oct. 31.
You call it cherry-picking.
Hey OTOH, this was the latest poll.

Did Wang use LV polls? Certainly. Are you confessing that you ignored, disregarded, threw away all the other poll data? Yup. Was it the latest poll?

Well, no, it wasn't. Sorry about that. Even the final Zogby number was 50-46. But, hey, you were pretty close.

According to the electoral-vote.com database (no longer available, AFAIK, but I have to assume that you have a copy on your hard drive, right?), the other poll based on interviews through 11/1 (in fact, only 10/31 and 11/1) was from SurveyUSA. It had Kerry 49, Bush 48.

With that, I feel I've done more than enough of your work for you. If you want to accuse Sam Wang of thoughtcrime, go right ahead.

ETA: Oh, you ask with great indignation (or innuendo, or something) why RCP doesn't seem to include any RV polls in its final list. You may not have noticed this in all these many years, but pollsters who report Likely Voter results do so because they consider their LV estimates more, well, likely than their RV estimates. I've made other points on this subject over the years, and -- true to form -- you have consistently ignored them.

Meanwhile, you're still ignoring (and therefore conceding) my other points entirely, and it appears that feeble attempts to smear me are all you've got left. Just for the record, I've never argued or believed that "all the activists and analysts are FOS." Do I think some people are FOS? Yes, indeed.
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