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Reply #57: 1 was wrong. You were right. I know Bush was VP. Address the wpe anomaly [View All]

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WillE Donating Member (150 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-23-09 07:59 PM
Response to Reply #52
57. 1 was wrong. You were right. I know Bush was VP. Address the wpe anomaly

Ok, thats 1 wrong out of 15. I was correct up until step 6 when I said that Bush required a 57.5% share of returning Gore and Bush voters. That was incorrect. Bush only had to needed to reduce Gores 64-31% (1.4 million) margin of the approximate 4.2 million returning Gore and Bush voters by 654,000. That means he needed approximately 330k more defecting Gore voters than Bush defectors, or 12% of 2800k returning Gore voters assuming no bush defectors. That is extremely implausible. Hell, lets be honest: its impossible.

Now lets see you comment in the content of the post; namely the average NY 8.0 wpe for Bush 1 and 2 compared to the 0.6 for Clinton. I am sure all Duers would be interested in your explanation.

And as for your comment that VP Bush was not an incumbent running for the presidency.I will let that insightful comment alone It speaks volumes all by itself..
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