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Reply #13: oh, I see how I misread you [View All]

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OnTheOtherHand Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-31-09 08:28 AM
Response to Reply #11
13. oh, I see how I misread you
We agree that TIA didn't offer an explanation -- I just misinterpreted what you wrote. I apologize for that.

The problem with linking TIA's analysis to DRE vote switching is that I think everyone concedes that in 2004, the largest average exit poll discrepancies by voting technology were in precincts that used mechanical voting machines, aka lever machines. That doesn't say much about the extent of DRE vote switching, just that by itself it can't do much to explain the exit poll discrepancies.

Yes, I think there is confidence that Gore won Florida based on a voter-intent standard, all the more so if voter intent had been accurately recorded. The precinct-level results have been pretty closely scrutinized, and I know of no strong reason to postulate vote-switching. There were many thousands of overvotes that have been attributed to voter error but are at least superficially consistent with punch card tampering, although I don't know of any evidence supporting the latter hypothesis. And of course there were many thousands of undervotes as well.
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