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Reply #22: California? Don't they have a 1% statewide audit? [View All]

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Bill Bored Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-02-08 04:21 PM
Response to Reply #19
22. California? Don't they have a 1% statewide audit?
That's actually not so bad for a statewide election because it's a HUGE state. So how would that audit compare in terms of effectiveness to the number of exit polled precincts in the state?

It would have to be close to 250 hand counted precincts right?

So how many precincts did they exit poll?

And how many voters did they interview, and how many voter-verified paper records were counted in the 1% audit, and what kind of errors or miscounts did they find?

(Of course, the audit procedures may not have been perfect, but then neither are the exit polls.)
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  -RICHARD HAYES PHILLIPS! His fraudometer has been working OVERTIME!!! PLEASE K & R! Bill Bored  Jul-27-08 08:16 PM   #0 
  - actually, he's wrong about the exit polls  OnTheOtherHand   Jul-27-08 08:56 PM   #1 
  - Couldn't care less about the exit polls, but I'm glad you're on top of it.  Bill Bored   Jul-27-08 11:04 PM   #4 
  - New York has the greatest exit poll difference of all 50 states, per one study.  L. Coyote   Jul-28-08 08:25 AM   #7 
  - depending on the metric, sure  OnTheOtherHand   Jul-28-08 03:25 PM   #11 
  - NY's precincts are relatively small. Could this be why the WPE is higher?  Bill Bored   Jul-28-08 04:33 PM   #14 
  - can't really explain it  OnTheOtherHand   Jul-28-08 05:45 PM   #15 
     - How much different was the certified result than the election-night result?  Bill Bored   Jul-28-08 11:07 PM   #17 
        - ?  OnTheOtherHand   Jul-29-08 06:15 AM   #18 
           - Yes. Absentees, recanvass, etc?  Bill Bored   Aug-02-08 04:25 PM   #23 
              - exit poll true believers tend to do what they want...  OnTheOtherHand   Aug-02-08 05:37 PM   #25 
  - Raw exit poll - actual vote % disparity was highest in NY.  L. Coyote   Jul-28-08 10:49 PM   #16 
     - not really "raw" exit poll  OnTheOtherHand   Jul-29-08 06:24 AM   #19 
        - The Freeman data is the "unadjusted" exit poll data  L. Coyote   Jul-29-08 09:03 AM   #20 
        - California? Don't they have a 1% statewide audit?  Bill Bored   Aug-02-08 04:21 PM   #22 
           - yeah, the CA exit poll was comparatively tiny  OnTheOtherHand   Aug-02-08 05:26 PM   #24 
              - OTOH, I am curious. What do you think of the Ohio data and  truckin   Aug-14-08 01:22 PM   #26 
                 - great question  OnTheOtherHand   Aug-14-08 05:32 PM   #27 
                 - Very little research has been accomplished in Ohio  L. Coyote   Aug-14-08 07:24 PM   #28 
                    - Hope you know that the SoS's website has full precinct data for the whole state in Excel (2004). nt  Bill Bored   Aug-15-08 02:12 PM   #29 
  - And we're PROUD OF IT! It proves that Exit Polls are a waste of time. Keep the levers! nt  Bill Bored   Jul-28-08 03:32 PM   #12 
  - Votescam may have caused some confusion because the  truckin   Jul-28-08 08:34 AM   #9 
  - The Lesson: Republics Will Say Anything to Justify Election Fraud.  DCKit   Jul-27-08 09:41 PM   #2 
  - greatest n/t  btmlndfrmr   Jul-27-08 09:53 PM   #3 
  - kick  samsingh   Jul-28-08 01:19 AM   #5 
  - Here is a link to events that Mr. Phillips has planned.  truckin   Jul-28-08 08:22 AM   #6 
  - "activists... should just shut up..." is always bad advice!  L. Coyote   Jul-28-08 08:31 AM   #8 
  - Except that ain't what he said.  Wilms   Jul-28-08 08:48 AM   #10 
     - Shutting up is hard to do, but none of them can explain how levers cause exit poll discrepancies. nt  Bill Bored   Jul-28-08 04:30 PM   #13 
        - Hayes is right.  Wilms   Aug-01-08 10:17 AM   #21 
  - .  Bill Bored   Sep-05-09 10:47 PM   #30 
  - No, the NY Best GEO exit poll had Kerry winning by 31%: 65-34%  WillE   Sep-05-09 11:08 PM   #31 
 

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