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Reply #143: You said it! [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform Donate to DU
Sancho Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jun-18-07 07:25 PM
Response to Reply #111
143. You said it!
Do you really, really think that news services predicting elections state by state all night using EM data are expecting to say, "but this is not accurate, so we're just guessing?" That is BS. The news and public are, in fact, expecting accurate predictions. Otherwise, why do the polls at all?

Or maybe the idea (as I understand you) is to determine the characteristics of those who voted in a certain way? If so, EM certainly has some amazing differences between their results, the "reported outcome", multiple other polls, dead zombie Republicans voting, reluctant responders (we use cute blond UF coeds in Florida that the only reluctant responders are accompanied by their wives to the polls), and other excuses. No more excuses. Either report results that make sense, or report nothing: "EM states that they did a bad job and have no conclusions."

Whatever EM is doing, they need to improve. Whatever it takes. I'm currently saying their sampling plan is less than creative and simple by survey standards. More based on "that's the way we've always done it" than anything else.

I understand exactly what EM is doing now (I didn't a year ago). I think it is a minimal response to many, many reported challenges. I also think they hide their problems. They certainly needs some competition.

I hope that more and more people become aware of the voting systems and do whatever they can to assure some honesty. I also hope that exit polls are not reported or used any more until the process is open and useful.
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