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Reply #80: A General Point: This study is not concerned with WPE - Within Precinct Error [View All]

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althecat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jun-16-07 07:34 PM
Response to Reply #67
80. A General Point: This study is not concerned with WPE - Within Precinct Error
Febble,

As I understand it most of your analysis of the NEP involved looking at WPE or precinct error - looking to see correlations etc.

This OP otoh is concerned with the wider numbers - turnout numbers in general - and cross tabs in relation to them. Most importantly it involves an analysis of the apparent illogicality of Bush doing better in the cities than in the rural areas. Contrary to OTOH persistent BS this does not rely in the first instance on the NEP as its basis but the actual turnout numbers and returns.

If you or someone from the NEP can explain how the tables we are discussing.

http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL0706/S00165.htm#b

Were actually compiled then that would help in this analysis. Guesses about how they were compiled and what may make them wrong are at this point in the discussion misdirection.

Meanwhile consider this.

You tell us repeatedly that your study of the exit poll data failed to find any statistical evidence of vote fraud.

As I was thinking about this last night - and partly prompted by your criticism of the National exit poll urban sample - I had an idea.

If you are a serious election stealer and you are using the NEP as your basis for stealing elections then it would be easily within your power not to steal votes in the Precincts that were being polled for the NEP.

This would leave no evidence to be discovered through an analysis of WPE.

Anyway food for thought.

al
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