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Reply #93: he did not need "major voter blocs" [View All]

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OnTheOtherHand Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-12-07 11:07 AM
Response to Reply #90
93. he did not need "major voter blocs"
Mind yourself, TIA: you've made Febble cross. As am I. But in case you are paying better attention than I think....

You can stare at the exit poll tables yourself and pick up some hints -- although, as Febble has pointed out many times, the exit poll tables could be pretty far off whether or not there was massive vote miscount. Bush appears to have done better in cities in 2004 -- he did about six points better in NYC. He seems to have done a bit better among abortion opponents relative to abortion supporters, which could indicate that he successfully burnished his pro-life credentials. But candidates get their votes from lots of different places. Both Kerry and Bush got most of their new voters from people who hadn't voted in 2000, but that left millions of people who had been almost indifferent between Bush and Gore. You, TIA, always seem to think of "Gore voters" as the Democratic base, but many of them weren't -- just as many "Bush voters" weren't the Republican base. They could have gone either way. They don't vote as a bloc.

Incumbents have structural advantages; it isn't so shocking when they win. Not that I have time to transcribe PS 101 for you here, or that you would read it if I did.
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