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Reply #75: TIA: Is this your rationale of why 15% of Gore voters defected? [View All]

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caruso Donating Member (48 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-11-07 08:23 AM
Response to Reply #74
75. TIA: Is this your rationale of why 15% of Gore voters defected?
Edited on Sun Feb-11-07 09:23 AM by caruso
The point, which you utterly fail to comprehend, is that there is an absolute limit on the number of returning 2000 voters. Let's start from there.

Your challenge is to justify your implausible Bush vote shares. Where did he find 16 million new voters apart from the Bush 2000 voters who were living and voted in 2004?

http://www.geocities.com/electionmodel/TruthIsAllFAQRes...

Bush had a 48.5% Job Rating on Election Day. That means a vast majority of former Gore voters (Democrats, Independents and a few Republicans) disapproved.

Now, do you really expect anyone to believe your extrapolation of that fact into a massive 15% defection of Gore voters to Bush?

If first-time voters (and those who did not vote in 2000) were overwhelming Kerry voters, what makes you believe that returning Gore voters would defect to Bush in a massive rejection of Kerry - and the Democrats?

To put it another way, what is the basis of your rationale which would cause 15% of Gore voters to defect to Bush? Let's look for their incentives. In other words, could you justify your theory by analyzing Bush's first term performance in the REAL world?

Was it his theft of the 2000 election? Was it the lack of immediate response to the 9/11 attacks as he sat in the Booker school reading about pet goats? Or was it his lies about Iraq? Could it have been the torure at Abu Graihb or Guantanamo? Could it have been his failure to go after Bib Laden? Was it Halliburton and Carlyle making billions on Iraq reconstruction? Was it the Patriot Act? Or maybe Gore voters approved of the Bush refusal to accept Global Warming? Or Bush warning Daschle NOT to form a 9/11 commission? Or was it his repsonve to the thrax attacks on Daschle and Leahy. Maybe it was his going AWOL? That must have won him the veterans. Was it the White House outing of Valerie Plame that won over the gore voters? Or was it his massive tax breaks to the top 1%? Or his relationship with Ken Lay of Enron? Was it his refusal to fund stem-cell research? That must have endeared him to the millions of Gore voters who defected, especially those who could not afford medical coverage. Are you saying the Christian fundamentalists were the Gore defectors? I don't think so. They voted for Bush in 2000, didn't they?

Now THAT is the definition of IMPLAUSIBLE.

You. Have. Gone. Too. Far.
Your. Theory. Does. Not. Pass. The. Smell. Test
It. Is. Totally. Illogical. And. Counter. Intuitive
What. Are. You. Trying. To. Prove?

Why are you still clinging to the belief that Bush won the election?
Who other than you on this Forum still believes it?



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