You are viewing an obsolete version of the DU website which is no longer supported by the Administrators. Visit The New DU.
Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

Reply #62: TIA: So you believe that Bush's 48.5% rating is consonant with a 14.6% Gore defection to Bush? [View All]

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform Donate to DU
caruso Donating Member (48 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-10-07 06:10 PM
Response to Reply #60
62. TIA: So you believe that Bush's 48.5% rating is consonant with a 14.6% Gore defection to Bush?
Edited on Sat Feb-10-07 06:11 PM by caruso
TIA:
You are flailing now, resorting to street-talk while failing to see the sheer incongruity and implausibility of your case.

It is utterly amazing that a political science professor would fail to see the inverted logic: to assume an inverse correlation between the overall 48.5% Bush Election Day job rating (a clear rejection by the majority) and your tortured hypothesis that 14.6% of Gore voters defected to Bush.

They are mutually contradictory. One (the rating) is correct, the other (vote share) is bogus. If I disapprove of the guy and I'm a Democrat, why would I vote for him, especially since he stole my vote in 2000.

Take a look at this hypothetical breakdown of the Bush rating.
If only 8% of Democrats approved of Bush, why would 15% vote for him?

Party Mix Appr WtdAppr
Dem 38% 8% 3.0%
Rep 35% 94% 32.9%
Ind 27% 46% 12.4%

Total 100% 48.3%

I'm sorry, OTOH, that dog won't hunt.




Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 

Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC