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Reply #50: TIA, you are still multiplying irrelevancies [View All]

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OnTheOtherHand Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-10-07 05:13 AM
Response to Reply #48
50. TIA, you are still multiplying irrelevancies
Stop spewing tables and start paying attention. I will try to keep it short for you.

There is no issue here regarding "THE MAXIMUM NUMBER OF GORE, BUSH AND NADER 2000 VOTERS WHO COULD HAVE VOTED IN 2004" (and, as Febble noted, those aren't weights -- if we holler from THE PEAK OF TRUTH MOUNTAIN, will you finally learn what a weight is?).

The problem comes with your freehand, unsubstantiated assertions about what is "plausible" for those voters to have done. For instance, in one of my models, about 45.9 million Gore voters vote, and 6.6 million (14.4%) vote for Bush. About 45.4 million Bush2K voters vote, and 41.9 million (92.3%) vote for Bush. About 3.7 million "other" voters vote, about 0.76 million (20.2%) for Bush. And about 27.3 million did-not-votes vote, about 12.8 million (46.8%) for Bush.

So, why is that model not "plausible"?

In the past, you have tried to answer that by citing exit poll results -- at which point "false recall" becomes very relevant. If you have some other evidence to bring to bear, please do. I have been waiting for a very long time now.
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