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Reply #381: Guilford Guile [View All]

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ignatzmouse Donating Member (327 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-20-04 10:49 AM
Response to Reply #375
381. Guilford Guile
That's a terrific run-down. Thank you for posting it. Guilford remains suspect in my mind. Demographically the county is Democratic 60/40 with a substantial African-American population and yet despite the GOTV efforts, Bush led in the early vote 51/49 with Kerry pulling a 52/48 win on election day. It may not seem like much, but this is decidedly off where that county should have been, and the true numbers would help to correct some of the state anomalies. For a county of that size, the Kerry early vote deficit is a loud tip that something is foul. It reverses the trend of the rest of the state which makes a good case that there was vote flipping on both sides of the contest there.

I'll have more to say on that in my follow-up analysis to be posted soon (the blasted thing is becoming an epic).
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