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Reply #269: Where is 40% coming from? Are you just making this up? [View All]

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Gracchi Donating Member (123 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-14-04 02:41 AM
Response to Reply #264
269. Where is 40% coming from? Are you just making this up?
Where did you get that number all the sudden?

"So now trend means to move in one direction, as opposed to maintaining. Hmmm. But, let's put that aside."

A trend means any kind of pattern. The initial poster suggested the trend was to maintain what was in the early voting. That is not true, the trend is actually a jump for the Republicans. I've shown that repeatedly and I will not discuss that any more. I showed you that every single race went towards the Republicans except the Governor, Lt. Governor and A-G. You ignore that for no apparent reason.

"Again, WRONG. Although you are just using wiggle terms here. There was a variance in the number of democrats over the number of GOP in absentee ballots, but it was not NEARLY what you are trying to claim it was, which is supported over and over again by the election day results."

The state Democratic party completely disagrees with you. They say that 49% of early voters were Dems and 37% were Republicans. I've posted that information a half dozen times.

If you continue to ignore the very facts presented by the initial poster you defend and the state Democratic party I don't know how to even debate this.

Here's one more try:
http://www.charlieboard.com/NcStatewideEVvsElectionDay....
That shows Republican gains of 9.0, 6.4, 2, 3, 5.2, 4.2, 2.2, 5.4, 4.4, and 2.2 in the elections. Three others swing Democratic: 0.5, 0.1 and 0.0. That is clearly a trend towards the Republicans, which is not at all what you or the initial poster describe.

As for early voting:
Total Voted = 970,894

Democrat = 477,298 (49.2%) +2.2% over registration

Republicans = 358,930 (37%) +1.9% over registration

Undeclared = 134,666 (13.9%)

o African American Total Vote = 159,837 (16.5%)

The +2.2% refers to the total registrations in state. 47% of NC voters are Democrats. The initial poster claimed that there was an even split amongst early voters. The state's Democratic party clearly says no, Democrats had a 12% lead in early voting. Even amongst that sample, Bush was up six and Bowles was even.

I really don't understand what it is that you are pointing to as to where I lie. I site the numbers provided by the original poster and the numbers proided by the board of elections.

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