Exit Poll Margin of Error in North Carolina 2004

[BeFree]

From the link below, a case is made about how exit polls correctly called one third of the vote in North Carolina, but were way off base on the other two thirds of the vote.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=170&topic_id=2562&mesg_id=2562

Here's a short description of the thread linked:

North Carolina allowed "No excuse needed" Early voting and Absentee ballots to be counted separately from the final election day.

About one third of the votes in NC were counted from Early and Absentee votes, and the other two thirds from the final election day.

Exit polls taken from Early and Absentee voters, and from final election day voters, matched the one third Early and Absentee count, each giving Bush a 6% margin of victory.

But exit-polls missed the mark, and well exceeded the MOE by nearly 10%, from the final election day results.

---------------------------

The only reasonable explanation so far for this discrepancy is that the machine cast ballots were corrupted on the final election day and caused the exit polls to miss the mark by 10%.

Discuss.