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Reply #80: "They need to be educated, not brainwashed." [View All]

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OnTheOtherHand Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Dec-04-05 02:12 PM
Response to Reply #78
80. "They need to be educated, not brainwashed."
Sigh.

While I waste my time trying to explain things to a stone, my colleagues are publishing their books about why Bush won. Not only do they not accept TIA's arguments, they don't even care. Frankly, "intelligent design" or probably even young-earth creationism is more pertinent to expert debate than TIA's notions about how the polls prove that Kerry won.

This isn't to say that TIA is wrong, although I believe that he is. It is to say that, so far, he is irrelevant outside a fairly small subculture. One does need to consider this in deciding how much time to spend explaining why his arguments haven't convinced many experts.

Here's a fun one: "The undecideds invariably break for the challenger - especially when the incumbent has a 48.5% job approval." I'm sure that is based on extensive empirical evidence... not.

Let's see, the last time a challenger beat an incumbent was in 1992. I see six pre-election polls: Clinton +6, +12, +8, +8, +7, +8. Clinton final margin +6.
http://www.ncpp.org/1936-2000.htm
And this was in a year where the incumbent had an approval rating under 40%, and interest and turnout were relatively high. Hmm....
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