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Reply #201: Just realised this was addressed to me [View All]

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Febble Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-24-05 03:54 PM
Response to Reply #120
201. Just realised this was addressed to me
Don't have a view actually. It seems incomprehensible to me that Gore voters should vote for Bush, and on election night it looked as though Bush thought he was winning. So on those hunches alone, I'd say fraud was more likely.

It was my own a priori hypothesis, the reason I got into this swamp.

The trouble is that I think there really is good evidence that the exit poll discrepancy was primarily due to widespread fraud, although widespread fraud could still have occurred in a way that was invisible to the exit poll (TfC has suggested a mechanism, and voter suppression wouldn't show up either). I think the San Diego experiment will be worth watching - it's looking to me like evidence that even a parallel election is prone to a red shift. That recount is starting to look convincing.

So although, a priori, I would have said fraud was more likely, I am prepared to accept the possibility that a sizeable chunk of Gore voters voted for Bush. I don't know about the US but people here hate uncertainty, hate elections, and hate hung parliaments. Is it possible that a tranch of Gore voters thought, oh, have it your way, I'm not going through that Florida recount business again -?

I dunno.
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